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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241BreakTheBankFlaznorpHomeRunHazard
Record (consensus markets)no settled market56% (20–16, n=36)75% (753–252, n=1005)55% (201–167, n=368)
Consensus PnL—$822K$78K$227K
Tracked as—PM monthly #1PM monthly #14PM monthly #8
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position33% (2 of 6 open)73% (134 of 183 open)68% (63 of 93 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +51 pts n=14, ROI +48%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 23 at avg 50¢, ROI +47%52% of 211 at avg 50¢, ROI +3%100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46%
Entries under 30¢—0%31% (won 9% of 66)1% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—57% (won 100% of 13)27% (won 45% of 56)32% (won 100% of 31)
Entries 50–70¢—39% (won 100% of 9)13% (won 68% of 28)57% (won 100% of 55)
Entries 70¢ and up—4% (won 100% of 1)29% (won 97% of 61)10% (won 100% of 10)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

26 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241BreakTheBankFlaznorpHomeRunHazard
Spread: Lakers (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
——Lakers $19Bucks $3.4K
Spread: Lakers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
——Lakers $205Bucks $1.5K
Nets vs. Pelicans: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $68Under $1.0K
Spread: Colorado State Rams (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colorado State Rams
——Portland State Vikings $5Colorado State Rams $832
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Warriors
——Warriors $120Rockets $83
Spread: Dartmouth Big Green (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Albany Great Danes
——Albany Great Danes $116Dartmouth Big Green $8
Celtics vs. Raptors
same side · consensus Celtics
——Celtics $1.4KCeltics $14K
Wizards vs. Pacers: O/U 225.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $118Over $7.6K
Florida A&M Rattlers vs. Kansas City Roos
same side · consensus Kansas City Roos
——Kansas City Roos $4.6KKansas City Roos $2.5K
Spread: Lakers (-13.5)
same side · consensus Bucks
——Bucks $621Bucks $5.2K
Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $218Over $5.0K
Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 232.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $85Over $3.5K
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $83Under $2.7K
Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 230.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $93Over $2.6K
Spread: Thunder (-1.5)
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
——Trail Blazers $217Trail Blazers $2.5K
Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 231.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $89Over $2.2K
Warriors vs. Rockets
same side · consensus Rockets
——Rockets $1.5KRockets $850
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
——Bucks $349Bucks $1.8K
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
——Seahawks $542Seahawks $1.5K
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Vikings
——Vikings $6Vikings $1.8K
Chiefs vs. Falcons
same side · consensus Falcons
——Falcons $165Falcons $1.2K
Campbell Fighting Camels vs. East Tennessee State Buccaneers: O/U 146.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $74Under $1.2K
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
——Colts $49Colts $1.1K
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)
same side · consensus Cavaliers
——Cavaliers $180Cavaliers $756
Spread: Pelicans (-7.5)
same side · consensus Pelicans
——Pelicans $260Pelicans $668
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
——Spurs $169Spurs $719
Spread: Kansas City Roos (-8.5)
same side · consensus Kansas City Roos
——Kansas City Roos $458Kansas City Roos $413
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights vs. East Texas A&M Lions: O/U 137.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $51Under $608
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 226.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $106Over $533
Saint Peter's Peacocks vs. South Carolina Gamecocks: O/U 129.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $19Over $420
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. South Florida Bulls: O/U 151.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $207Under $183
Spread: Pelicans (-3.5)
same side · consensus Pelicans
——Nets $3Nets $69