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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0Flaznorpjoseph00677RN1
Record (consensus markets)92% (3728–318, n=4046)52% (6467–6001, n=12468)45% (10–12, n=22)48% (14109–15586, n=29695)
Consensus PnL$89K$3.5M$5.3M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #624PM monthly #22PM monthly #2PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus64% (14 of 22 open)76% (197 of 258 open)no open consensus position66% (97 of 148 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +44 pts n=81, ROI +45%
  • NBA +40 pts n=350, ROI −2%
  • Soccer +35 pts n=521, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won100% of 1014 at avg 62¢, ROI +19%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢8% (won 100% of 78)29% (won 11% of 465)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢23% (won 100% of 233)16% (won 40% of 255)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 100% of 297)16% (won 62% of 260)65% (won 73% of 11)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 100% of 406)39% (won 94% of 637)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

60 on the same side, 33 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0Flaznorpjoseph00677RN1
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $19No $25K—Yes $13K
Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $26No $4.4K—Yes $574
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $13Yes $41K—Yes $19K
Villa Maria: Federico Coria vs Valerio Aboian
same side · consensus Federico Coria
Federico Coria $5Federico Coria $1.1K—Federico Coria $5.5K
Will Sunderland AFC vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $4No $403—No $79
Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Filip Misolic
opposite sides · consensus Filip Misolic
Facundo Acosta $35——Filip Misolic $18K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.6K
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $4No $8.6K——
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $8.5K—Over $4
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.5K—Over $4.5K
Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Olympique de Marseille
—Olympique de Marseille $6.0K—Bayer 04 Leverkusen $10
Will RU Saint-Gilloise win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $3No $5.0K——
Will AZ win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $2.0K—No $2.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $586—Over $3.3K
SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. NK Celje: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $264—Over $2.9K
SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. NK Celje: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.7K—Under $414
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.9K—Under $57
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 1 KKS Lech Poznań?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $2.1K—Yes $285
Will FC Twente vs. Páfos FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.9K—Yes $6
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476—Under $1.3K
Exact Score: AZ 3 - 2 Juventus FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.5K—Yes $63
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 3 KKS Lech Poznań?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.5K—Yes $32
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $466—No $529
Sport Lisboa e Benfica leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $600—No $300
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $649—Over $185
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Heat $440—Warriors $143
Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $432—Over $5
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 2 - 0 KKS Lech Poznań?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $94—Yes $186
Cali: Leolia Jeanjean vs Alice Tubello
opposite sides · consensus Leolia Jeanjean
Alice Tubello $18Leolia Jeanjean $145——
W75 Petange: Isis Louise Van den Broek vs Anna Siskova
opposite sides · consensus Isis Louise Van den Broek
—Anna Siskova $60—Isis Louise Van den Broek $72
Exact Score: AZ 0 - 2 Juventus FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $12—No $46
Panathinaikós AO vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $26—Over $27
MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. OFI: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $25—Under $3
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $51K—No $27K
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $47K—No $20K
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $32K—No $14K
Will SC União Torreense win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $4Yes $34K——
Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $12K—Under $19K
AZ vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $11K—Over $8.1K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $3.6K—Under $11K
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $6.4K—Under $6.9K
AZ vs. Juventus FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $3.8K—Under $8.6K
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $7.4K—Under $3.0K
Cali: Luisina Giovannini vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
—Bianca Andreescu $3.4K—Bianca Andreescu $5.8K
AZ vs. Juventus FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $736—Under $5.4K
Sunderland AFC vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $5.5K—Under $153