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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7BreakTheBankRN1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)46% (280–330, n=610)45% (572–710, n=1282)47% (14161–15670, n=29831)50% (20844–20530, n=41374)
Consensus PnL$2.4M$7.9M$14.8M$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #255PM monthly #2PM monthly #32 + pinnedPM monthly #8
Sides with the consensus61% (87 of 143 open)80% (28 of 35 open)59% (44 of 75 open)68% (30 of 44 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won51% of 712 at avg 48¢, ROI +5%97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢51% (won 6% of 361)10% (won 82% of 60)10% (won 57% of 2593)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢3% (won 62% of 21)35% (won 98% of 204)22% (won 94% of 5682)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢4% (won 96% of 25)35% (won 100% of 202)35% (won 99% of 9181)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up43% (won 99% of 305)20% (won 100% of 116)33% (won 100% of 8519)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7BreakTheBankRN1UpTheBlues
Spread: Jaguars (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
—Ravens $175KJaguars $2.6K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.6KUnder $21K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $360Under $7.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $1.9KNo $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $3.3KUnder $1.4K
Spread: Jaguars (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
—Ravens $601Jaguars $3.2K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $7No $2.7K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KAthletic Club $218
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $36Under $1.5K
Spread: Jaguars (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
—Ravens $1.3KJaguars $174—
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.1KYes $69
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $192No $249
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Athletic Club $354
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $61No $172
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $29Under $12
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $20Over $5
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $2.5KNo $3.1K
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Warriors $3.5KWarriors $510—
Spread: Jaguars (-8.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
—Ravens $287Ravens $2.8K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $1.1KUnder $945
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.3KUnder $64
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $42Under $796