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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026FlaznorpNM-PRN1
Record (consensus markets)35% (3649–6671, n=10320)52% (6524–6030, n=12554)83% (5378–1108, n=6486)48% (14139–15621, n=29760)
Consensus PnL$3.0M$3.5M$47K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #735PM monthly #21PM monthly #504PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus71% (25 of 35 open)70% (181 of 259 open)73% (91 of 125 open)61% (44 of 72 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%100% of 4086 at avg 68¢, ROI +31%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 465)6% (won 100% of 256)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 40% of 255)21% (won 100% of 859)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢—16% (won 62% of 260)22% (won 100% of 884)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up—39% (won 94% of 637)51% (won 100% of 2087)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

69 on the same side, 45 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026FlaznorpNM-PRN1
Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $240Under $7.3KUnder $719Under $11K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.3KUnder $13K—Over $1.5K
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Sport Lisboa e Benfica $3.0KKKS Lech Poznań $3.0K—KKS Lech Poznań $63
Will FC København vs. SK Iberia 1999 end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.4KYes $1No $805
Spread: Warriors (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Heat $108Warriors $182Warriors $130
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $47KNo $5.9KNo $27K
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $45KNo $7.9KNo $19K
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)
same side · consensus KKS Lech Poznań
Sport Lisboa e Benfica $29KSport Lisboa e Benfica $16K—Sport Lisboa e Benfica $16K
Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Filip Misolic
same side · consensus Filip Misolic
Filip Misolic $24KFilip Misolic $4.1K—Filip Misolic $9.6K
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $5.2KNo $2.2KNo $1.2K
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.8KNo $1.5KNo $93
Will SK Iberia 1999 win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.5KNo $1.9KNo $214
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $143Over $1.8KOver $143—
Will FK Kauno Žalgiris win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $958No $560No $210
AZ vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
—No $203No $477No $12
Exact Score: AZ 0 - 1 Juventus FC?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $2Yes $185Yes $2
Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Olympique de Marseille
Bayer 04 Leverkusen $33KOlympique de Marseille $4.8K——
Magic vs. Suns: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $11K—Over $176—
Spread: James Madison (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus James Madison
James Madison $8.4K—Southern Miss $195—
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $8.2K—Under $5
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K
Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg
opposite sides · consensus Max Hans Rehberg
Max Hans Rehberg $3.5KDaniel Milavsky $1.9K——
Rolex Paris Masters: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Casper Ruud
opposite sides · consensus Casper Ruud
Casper Ruud $4.9K—Jan-Lennard Struff $280—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $586—Over $3.3K
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 235.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $3.0K—Over $191—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.2KOver $680——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Panathinaikós AO vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.2KUnder $6——
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.2K—Under $7
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $2.1KNo $2—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476—Under $1.3K
Spread: Panathinaikós AO (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus PFK CSKA Sofia
—PFK CSKA Sofia $1.3K—Panathinaikós AO $4
Will OFI win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $46No $1.2K—
Will EC Juventude win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.1KYes $25—
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 0 KKS Lech Poznań?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $142—No $946
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $996Yes $46—
Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $387No $650—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $466—No $529
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $960Under $25—
Will Sunderland AFC vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $3No $894—
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $614No $144—
Miami (FL) vs. Notre Dame
opposite sides · consensus Notre Dame
—Miami (FL) $391Notre Dame $358—
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 1 KKS Lech Poznań?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $667Yes $1—
Spread: FC Twente (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Páfos FC
FC Twente $578Páfos FC $74——
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $553No $44—
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
opposite sides · consensus Seahawks
—Cardinals $170Seahawks $403—
Broncos vs. Panthers
opposite sides · consensus Panthers
—Broncos $300Panthers $154—
Costa do Sauipe: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Elmer Moeller
opposite sides · consensus Elmer Moeller
—Elmer Moeller $384—Joao Lucas Da Silva $32
M25 Valencia: Julio Cesar Porras vs Ivan Gakhov
opposite sides · consensus Ivan Gakhov
—Julio Cesar Porras $60—Ivan Gakhov $238