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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
1000monkeysFlaznorpprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)57% (369–276, n=645)52% (6467–6001, n=12468)50% (1105–1117, n=2222)48% (14109–15586, n=29695)
Consensus PnL$97K$3.5M$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #825PM monthly #22PM monthly #46PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus86% (6 of 7 open)78% (260 of 332 open)no open consensus position63% (103 of 164 open)
Strongest topics
  • Crypto +34 pts n=473, ROI +52%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won68% of 473 at avg 34¢, ROI +52%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢40% (won 35% of 188)29% (won 11% of 465)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢38% (won 87% of 181)16% (won 40% of 255)41% (won 99% of 412)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢20% (won 95% of 94)16% (won 62% of 260)50% (won 99% of 503)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up2% (won 100% of 10)39% (won 94% of 637)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

88 on the same side, 46 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market1000monkeysFlaznorpprimmRN1
Will NK Celje win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $38K—No $4.4K
Will Ararat-Armenia FA win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $17K—No $14K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.6K
Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $10K—Yes $223
Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Olympique de Marseille
—Olympique de Marseille $9.6K—Bayer 04 Leverkusen $352
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $4.6K—No $5.0K
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $2.8K—Under $5.9K
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $8.7K—Over $4
Will Sunderland AFC vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $7.4K—Yes $592
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $7.8K—No $135
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.5K—Over $4.5K
Will FC Twente vs. Páfos FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $5.4K—Yes $6
MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. OFI: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $2.1K—Under $2.8K
Will AZ win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $2.2K—No $2.5K
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $4.1K—Under $81
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $586—Over $3.3K
Will K. Sint-Truidense VV win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.0K—Yes $743
SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. NK Celje: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $491—Over $2.9K
SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. NK Celje: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.7K—Under $414
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.9K—Under $57
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 2 KKS Lech Poznań?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.8K—Yes $994
Will Panathinaikós AO vs. PFK CSKA Sofia end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $2.7K—Yes $16
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Spread: SC União Torreense (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ararat-Armenia FA
—SC União Torreense $231—Ararat-Armenia FA $2.3K
Exact Score: Celtic FC 2 - 2 Beşiktaş JK?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.6K—Yes $464
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 1 KKS Lech Poznań?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $629—Yes $1.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476—Under $1.3K
Exact Score: AZ 3 - 2 Juventus FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.5K—Yes $63
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.4K—No $60
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 3 KKS Lech Poznań?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.2K—Yes $32
Panathinaikós AO vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $803—Under $278
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $835—Over $185
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $466—No $529
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $588—Over $336
Sport Lisboa e Benfica leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $600—No $300
SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. NK Celje: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $809—Over $54
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 2 - 0 KKS Lech Poznań?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $118—Yes $594
Rīga FC vs. FK Jablonec: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $677—Over $1
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Heat $440—Warriors $143
Sunderland AFC vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $433—Over $10
Spread: Juventus FC (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus AZ
—Juventus FC $49—AZ $89
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 1 - 0 KKS Lech Poznań?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $47—Yes $27
MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. OFI: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $25—Under $3
Exact Score: Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2 - 0 Olympique de Marseille?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $2—No $8
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $105K—No $18K
Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $58K—Yes $42K
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $64K—No $28K
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $67K—Yes $21K