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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1ropetard
Record (consensus markets)45% (546–663, n=1209)53% (5603–5047, n=10650)47% (12761–14165, n=26926)75% (86–28, n=114)
Consensus PnL$11.2M$3.3M$14.8M$84K
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #22PM monthly #23 + pinnedPM monthly #396
Sides with the consensus71% (39 of 55 open)73% (126 of 172 open)63% (59 of 93 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • NBA +8 pts n=131, ROI +2%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%58% of 132 at avg 49¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 81% of 57)29% (won 11% of 423)10% (won 57% of 2606)6% (won 25% of 8)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 201)16% (won 40% of 243)22% (won 94% of 5665)42% (won 44% of 55)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 99% of 196)17% (won 62% of 255)36% (won 99% of 9185)49% (won 72% of 65)
Entries 70¢ and up19% (won 100% of 109)38% (won 94% of 561)32% (won 100% of 8345)3% (won 75% of 4)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

34 on the same side, 19 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1ropetard
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Bayern München: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $72Over $26K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.6K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $927Over $2.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.0KYes $7—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $35—
Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $978Under $320—
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-11-03?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $98Yes $947—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $301No $702—
Al Hilal SFC vs. Shabab Al Ahli Dubai: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $46Over $895—
Will Derby County FC win on 2026-11-03?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $687Yes $24—
Huddersfield Town AFC vs. Luton Town FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $222Over $431—
Will West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2026-11-03?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $374No $218—
Will Watford FC win on 2026-11-03?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $60Yes $381—
W35 Hamamatsu: Yuka Hosoki vs Funa Kozaki
opposite sides · consensus Funa Kozaki
—Funa Kozaki $364Yuka Hosoki $49—
IK Sirius vs. Halmstads BK: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $333Under $12—
Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $170Over $46—
Portsmouth FC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $209Over $1—
IK Sirius vs. Halmstads BK: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $93Under $48—
Watford FC vs. Lincoln City FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $30Under $30—
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $38KUnder $46—
Taipei: Carl Overbeck vs Chun-Hsin Tseng
same side · consensus Chun-Hsin Tseng
—Chun-Hsin Tseng $546Chun-Hsin Tseng $27K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $12KNo $2.2K—
Taipei: Yaroslav Demin vs Alexandre Muller
same side · consensus Alexandre Muller
—Alexandre Muller $7.7KAlexandre Muller $1.6K—
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
—No $6.5KNo $1.4K—
Will Shabab Al Ahli Dubai win on 2026-11-03?
same side · consensus No
—No $485No $4.3K—
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Alina Charaeva
same side · consensus Alina Charaeva
—Antonia Ruzic $1.6KAntonia Ruzic $1.8K—
Will CD Tenerife win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
—No $115No $3.3K—
W100 Incheon: JiaYi Wang vs Ha Eum Lee
same side · consensus JiaYi Wang
—JiaYi Wang $3.1KJiaYi Wang $92—
W100 Incheon: Han Shi vs Sakura Hosogi
same side · consensus Han Shi
—Han Shi $2.0KHan Shi $1.1K—
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 1 - 1 FC Bayern München?
same side · consensus No
—No $136No $2.8K—
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 1 - 2 FC Bayern München?
same side · consensus No
—No $346No $1.8K—
W100 Incheon: Zhuoxuan Bai vs Caroline Werner
same side · consensus Zhuoxuan Bai
—Zhuoxuan Bai $2.1KZhuoxuan Bai $39—
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
—No $96No $1.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $97Under $1.1K—
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
same side · consensus No
—No $379No $662—
Will IK Sirius win on 2026-11-03?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $589No $420—
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 1 Aston Villa FC?
same side · consensus No
—No $81No $918—
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $729Boluspor $43—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702Under $20—
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 0 - 0 Aston Villa FC?
same side · consensus No
—No $124No $431—
Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Stoke City FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
—No $526No $7—
Exact Score: IK Sirius 0 - 0 Halmstads BK?
same side · consensus No
—No $381No $134—
Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-11-03?
same side · consensus No
—No $487No $28—
Will Lincoln City FC win on 2026-11-03?
same side · consensus No
—No $164No $160—
FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $239Under $46—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $117Yes $162—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $262Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Al Hilal SFC vs. Shabab Al Ahli Dubai: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $17Over $168—
W35 Hamamatsu: Haruna Arakawa vs Yuzuha Negishi
same side · consensus Haruna Arakawa
—Yuzuha Negishi $67Yuzuha Negishi $112—
West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $120Under $8—