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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | GingerMcKenna | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 30% (1491–3544, n=5035) | 50% (1106–1117, n=2223) | 47% (13877–15390, n=29267) |
| Consensus PnL | $9.4M | $34K | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | was PM monthly #404 | PM monthly #46 | PM monthly #29 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 71% (24 of 34 open) | 59% (337 of 569 open) | no open consensus position | 52% (14 of 27 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | Tech −3 pts, n=329 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 38% of 2743 at avg 38¢, ROI −2% | 99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 59% (won 2% of 1618) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 4% (won 28% of 100) | 41% (won 99% of 405) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 4% (won 75% of 106) | 49% (won 99% of 485) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 34% (won 98% of 919) | 5% (won 100% of 46) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
10 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.