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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankHAN88888primmRN1
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)100% (18–0, n=18)50% (1246–1260, n=2506)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)
Consensus PnL$7.7M$55K$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #531PM monthly #49PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus76% (41 of 54 open)no open consensus position54% (21 of 39 open)57% (84 of 148 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 15 at avg 90¢, ROI +9%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)0%5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)0%41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)0%49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)100% (won 100% of 15)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

12 on the same side, 20 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankHAN88888primmRN1
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Colts $101K—Colts $94Cowboys $2.0K
Cowboys vs. Colts
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Colts $49K—Colts $5.7KCowboys $4.9K
Spread: Giants (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Giants
Giants $11K—Eagles $3.4KEagles $1.4K
Giants vs. Eagles
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Giants $212K—Eagles $5.6K—
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $208K—Over $6.8K—
Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
Colts $179K——Cowboys $1.9K
Spread: Giants (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Giants $68K—Eagles $131—
Spread: Giants (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Giants $67K——Eagles $20
Spread: Giants (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Giants $37K——Eagles $8.7K
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 48.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $6.8KOver $1.8K
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $3.9KUnder $2.0K
Spread: Lions (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lions
——Dolphins $1.2KLions $4.7K
Browns vs. Saints: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $3.3KOver $1.9K
Lions vs. Dolphins: O/U 48.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $5.0KOver $99
Cowboys vs. Colts: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $84Over $5.0K
Spread: Rams (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Commanders
——Commanders $133Rams $3.5K
Spread: Saints (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
——Saints $50Browns $3.5K
Spread: Lions (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Dolphins
——Lions $2.0KDolphins $1.6K
Spread: Saints (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
——Saints $958Browns $1.8K
Spread: Lions (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lions
——Dolphins $267Lions $787
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $201K——No $4.7K
Lions vs. Dolphins
same side · consensus Lions
——Lions $47KLions $2.2K
Spread: Chiefs (-8.5)
same side · consensus Chiefs
Chiefs $18K——Chiefs $1.7K
Spread: Rams (-4.5)
same side · consensus Commanders
Rams $13K——Rams $2.7K
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 46.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $5.3KUnder $5.5K
Spread: Giants (-5.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
——Eagles $195Eagles $3.2K
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 50.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.6KUnder $1.3K
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 34.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $924Over $993
Spread: Lions (-14.5)
same side · consensus Dolphins
——Dolphins $1.6KDolphins $3
Spread: Rams (-6.5)
same side · consensus Commanders
——Commanders $745Commanders $579
Spread: Saints (-7.5)
same side · consensus Browns
——Saints $16Saints $1.1K
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 46.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $9Over $14