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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| CUTJALENHURTS | joseph00677 | ndb1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (6048–5641, n=11689) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 63% (1014–591, n=1605) | 50% (1151–1158, n=2309) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.1M | $5.3M | $4.8M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #124 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #98 | PM monthly #47 |
| Sides with the consensus | 76% (88 of 116 open) | no open consensus position | 72% (63 of 87 open) | 86% (6 of 7 open) |
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| Weakest topic | MLB −1 pts, n=747 | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 54% of 10582 at avg 51¢, ROI +4% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 18% of 1390) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 46% of 3763) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 41% (won 99% of 421) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 61% of 3662) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 49% (won 99% of 508) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 17% (won 86% of 1767) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 5% (won 100% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
12 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.