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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ComingBackRN1BreakTheBankprimm
Record (consensus markets)61% (3977–2523, n=6500)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)45% (526–640, n=1166)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$74K$13.4M$10.6M$3.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #974PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus91% (20 of 22 open)58% (84 of 145 open)73% (79 of 108 open)61% (20 of 33 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +15 pts n=1269, ROI +14%
  • Soccer +14 pts n=1640, ROI +13%
  • Tennis +11 pts n=207, ROI +13%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicPolitics −6 pts, n=123———
Settled positions, side won73% of 7547 at avg 65¢, ROI +9%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 23% of 77)10% (won 56% of 2534)10% (won 85% of 53)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢23% (won 56% of 1748)22% (won 94% of 5497)36% (won 98% of 192)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢37% (won 67% of 2819)36% (won 99% of 8897)35% (won 99% of 187)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 89% of 2903)31% (won 100% of 7736)20% (won 100% of 107)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

14 on the same side, 19 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketComingBackRN1BreakTheBankprimm
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Cowboys $2.0KCowboys $12KCardinals $59K—
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
—Bills $18KBills $51KRavens $696
Spread: Jets (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $2.7KRaiders $24KJets $284
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cowboys $1.4KCardinals $3.0KCardinals $1.1K
Ravens vs. Bills
same side · consensus Bills
—Bills $25KBills $378KBills $395
Raiders vs. Jets
same side · consensus Raiders
Raiders $2.0K—Raiders $171KRaiders $5.8K
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
Magic $4.6KMagic $228Magic $51K—
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
—Steelers $1.9KBrowns $297K—
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $62K—No $184K—
Spread: Cowboys (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
Cowboys $2.0K—Cardinals $35K—
Spread: Raiders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
—Jets $109Raiders $17K—
Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $7.0K—Under $1.8K
Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Falcons
—Falcons $2.7K—Buccaneers $3.0K
Spread: Bills (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
—Ravens $647—Bills $4.5K
Spread: Bills (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bills
—Bills $4.0K—Ravens $295
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 50.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.3K—Under $2.1K
Spread: Bills (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
——Bills $2.1KRavens $376
Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 54.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $2.2K—Over $8
Browns vs. Steelers: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $902—Under $1.2K
Browns vs. Steelers: O/U 48.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.0K—Under $17
Spread: Steelers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Steelers
—Steelers $225—Browns $471
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 58.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $434—Under $65
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $4.3KRaiders $104K—
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $161Magic $13K—
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 64.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $9.2K—Under $2.8K
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 52.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $7.2K—Under $261
Spread: Bills (-10.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
—Bills $4.0K—Bills $2.7K
Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 50.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $4.8K—Under $575
Spread: Steelers (-6.5)
same side · consensus Steelers
—Steelers $4.7K—Steelers $156
Spread: Bills (-17.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
—Bills $2.5K—Bills $282
Spread: Jaguars (-14.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
—Jaguars $2.5K—Jaguars $4
Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)
same side · consensus Cowboys
—Cardinals $629—Cardinals $1.0K
Spread: Bills (-16.5)
same side · consensus Bills
—Bills $93—Bills $662