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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
DavidShekelFlaznorpndb1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)32% (401–857, n=1258)52% (6509–6024, n=12533)63% (989–572, n=1561)50% (20851–20547, n=41398)
Consensus PnL$136K$3.6M$3.2M$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #378PM monthly #10PM monthly #90PM monthly #8
Sides with the consensus76% (25 of 33 open)69% (127 of 184 open)69% (59 of 86 open)70% (31 of 44 open)
Strongest topics
  • F1 +21 pts n=89, ROI −13%
  • Soccer +13 pts n=269, ROI +4%
  • MMA +28 pts n=20, ROI +36%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topicNFL −7 pts, n=17Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won77% of 578 at avg 64¢, ROI +3%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢24% (won 18% of 136)29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 15% of 168)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 76% of 34)16% (won 40% of 255)20% (won 39% of 256)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 90% of 87)16% (won 62% of 260)24% (won 58% of 314)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up56% (won 99% of 321)39% (won 94% of 637)43% (won 93% of 550)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

15 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketDavidShekelFlaznorpndb1UpTheBlues
Will Mississippi Rebels win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.5K—Yes $351—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $596—Yes $154
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $702—Over $5
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Athletic Club $354
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476—Under $64
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $139—No $249
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114—Athletic Club $218
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $132—Yes $3
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Under $21K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $3.1K
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $499—No $15K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.4K—No $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $3.1K—No $2.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Under $1.5K
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.6K—No $1.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $586—Under $1.4K
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $1.0K—Yes $153
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $337—Under $755
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.1K—Over $8
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $176—Under $796
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $361—Under $595
Will Spain win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?
same side · consensus No
No $192—No $173—
Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)
same side · consensus CD Pamplona
—CD Pamplona $127—CD Pamplona $6