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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | joseph00677 | LightParadox | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (6519–6017, n=12536) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 50% (978–966, n=1944) | 50% (20929–20600, n=41529) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.5M | $5.3M | $2.3K | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #730 | PM monthly #7 |
| Sides with the consensus | 68% (232 of 339 open) | no open consensus position | 47% (64 of 136 open) | 70% (32 of 46 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 100% of 498 at avg 70¢, ROI +34% | 100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 7% (won 100% of 35) | 7% (won 99% of 2623) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 100% of 101) | 21% (won 100% of 7839) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 17% (won 100% of 86) | 22% (won 100% of 8452) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 55% (won 100% of 276) | 51% (won 100% of 19323) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
69 on the same side, 49 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | LightParadox | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $132 | — | No $28 | Yes $3 |
| Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5) same side · consensus CD Pamplona | CD Pamplona $127 | — | CD Pamplona $10 | CD Pamplona $6 |
| Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $16K | — | No $18 | — |
| Spread: NEC (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus AS Omónoia Leukosías | AS Omónoia Leukosías $10K | — | NEC $42 | — |
| AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $8.6K | — | Over $93 | — |
| Will FC Viktoria Plzeň win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $7.3K | — | No $18 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $9 | — | — | Under $5.2K |
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $5.0K | — | Over $19 | — |
| Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $3.5K | — | Under $3 | — |
| Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $1.6K | — | No $1.6K | — |
| Spread: Ferencvárosi TC (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus AC Milan | AC Milan $2.5K | — | Ferencvárosi TC $2 | — |
| Will FC Midtjylland vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | No $2.2K | — | Yes $8 | — |
| Charlottesville: Aidan Mayo vs Alastair Gray opposite sides · consensus Aidan Mayo | Aidan Mayo $2.0K | — | Alastair Gray $2 | — |
| Spread: AC Milan (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Ferencvárosi TC | Ferencvárosi TC $1.8K | — | AC Milan $131 | — |
| Will FC Thun win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $1.6K | — | No $5 | — |
| Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus AC Sparta Praha | AC Sparta Praha $1.4K | — | AFC Bournemouth $21 | — |
| Spread: Atalanta BC (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Qairat FK | Qairat FK $820 | — | Atalanta BC $38 | — |
| FC Midtjylland vs. AFC Ajax: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $448 | — | No $359 | — |
| Spread: FC København (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus SK Iberia 1999 | SK Iberia 1999 $123 | — | FC København $665 | — |
| Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim $759 | — | Crystal Palace FC $8 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $702 | — | — | Over $5 |
| Cali: Julia Riera vs Renata Zarazua opposite sides · consensus Renata Zarazua | Renata Zarazua $387 | — | Julia Riera $233 | — |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268 | — | — | Athletic Club $345 |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club? opposite sides · consensus No | No $548 | — | — | Yes $2 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $476 | — | — | Under $64 |
| W75 Petange: Lisa Pigato vs Greet Minnen opposite sides · consensus Greet Minnen | Greet Minnen $527 | — | Lisa Pigato $4 | — |
| Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. OFI end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | No $492 | — | Yes $7 | — |
| Spread: Trabzonspor (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus SC Freiburg | SC Freiburg $449 | — | Trabzonspor $21 | — |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $127 | — | — | No $270 |
| Spread: KAA Gent (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Kuopion PS | Kuopion PS $308 | — | KAA Gent $72 | — |
| CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $261 | — | Over $29 | — |
| FC København vs. SK Iberia 1999: FC København O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $259 | — | Under $18 | — |
| FC Lugano vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $268 | — | Under $3 | — |
| Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $244 | — | No $18 | — |
| AC Sparta Praha vs. AFC Bournemouth: AC Sparta Praha O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $79 | — | Over $184 | — |
| Atalanta BC vs. Qairat FK: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $233 | — | Over $20 | — |
| Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | No $214 | — | Yes $39 | — |
| Spread: FC Viktoria Plzeň (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Lillestrøm SK | Lillestrøm SK $96 | — | FC Viktoria Plzeň $41 | — |
| FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $108 | — | Under $22 | — |
| W35 Orlando, FL: Yara Bartashevich vs Dasha Ivanova opposite sides · consensus Dasha Ivanova | Yara Bartashevich $117 | — | Dasha Ivanova $13 | — |
| Will Qairat FK win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $32 | — | No $79 | — |
| SC União Torreense vs. Ararat-Armenia FA: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $32 | — | Over $55 | — |
| AC Sparta Praha vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $27 | — | Under $42 | — |
| Spread: FC Lugano (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus FC Lugano | FC Lugano $3 | — | FK Kauno Žalgiris $60 | — |
| Will FK Kauno Žalgiris win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $40 | — | No $19 | — |
| Spread: AC Sparta Praha (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus AFC Bournemouth | AFC Bournemouth $30 | — | AC Sparta Praha $10 | — |
| Spread: FK Crvena zvezda (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Inter Club d'Escaldes | FK Crvena zvezda $10 | — | Inter Club d'Escaldes $22 | — |
| FK Crvena zvezda leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $6 | — | No $24 | — |
| Atalanta BC vs. Qairat FK: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $9 | — | Under $15 | — |
| Will CE Sabadell FC win on 2026-10-28? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $10 | Yes $3 |