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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677RN1surfandturf
Record (consensus markets)52% (6275–5714, n=11989)53% (10–9, n=19)47% (14288–15920, n=30208)52% (301–278, n=579)
Consensus PnL$3.4M$5.6M$14.8M-$63K
Tracked asPM monthly #13PM monthly #2PM monthly #18 + pinnedwas PM monthly #326
Sides with the consensus73% (190 of 260 open)no open consensus position52% (31 of 60 open)18% (2 of 11 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MMA +4 pts n=151, ROI +10%
  • NBA +3 pts n=85, ROI +12%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22——NFL −7 pts, n=75
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%53% of 599 at avg 52¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2606)21% (won 14% of 123)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5665)23% (won 48% of 136)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)65% (won 73% of 11)36% (won 99% of 9185)32% (won 59% of 193)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)18% (won 67% of 3)32% (won 100% of 8345)25% (won 81% of 147)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

27 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpjoseph00677RN1surfandturf
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-11-03?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $11K——Yes $13K
Chennai Open: Moyuka Uchijima vs Rebecca Sramkova
opposite sides · consensus Moyuka Uchijima
Moyuka Uchijima $16K—Rebecca Sramkova $4.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Over $1.6K—
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-11-03?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $4.7K——No $4.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $927—Over $2.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.0K—Yes $7—
Spread: Beijing Guoan (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Port FC
Port FC $2.6K—Beijing Guoan $235—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $35—
Chennai Open: Rada Zolotareva vs Lucrezia Stefanini
opposite sides · consensus Lucrezia Stefanini
Lucrezia Stefanini $761—Rada Zolotareva $1.8K—
Beijing Guoan leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $491—Yes $1.6K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $301—No $702—
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $649—Over $264—
Port FC vs. Beijing Guoan: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $192—Over $266—
Taranto: Ryan Peniston vs Marcus Walters
opposite sides · consensus Ryan Peniston
Ryan Peniston $310—Marcus Walters $2—
M25 Valencia: Izan Almazan Valiente vs Yanaki Milev
opposite sides · consensus Izan Almazan Valiente
Izan Almazan Valiente $198—Yanaki Milev $33—
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $38K—Under $46—
Cong An Ha Noi FC vs. Kyoto Sanga FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $13K—Under $14K—
Port FC vs. Beijing Guoan: O/U 8.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $14K—Under $7.9K—
Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)
same side · consensus Manchester United FC
Manchester United FC $19K—Manchester United FC $2.3K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $2.5K—
Will Kyoto Sanga FC win on 2026-11-03?
same side · consensus No
No $12K—No $2.2K—
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $6.5K—No $1.4K—
Cong An Ha Noi FC vs. Kyoto Sanga FC: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $2.4K—Under $1.3K—
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-11-03?
same side · consensus No
No $3.3K——No $337
Cong An Ha Noi FC vs. Kyoto Sanga FC: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2.4K—Under $1.1K—
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Elena Pridankina vs Paula Badosa
same side · consensus Paula Badosa
Elena Pridankina $2.5K—Elena Pridankina $912—
Will CD Tenerife win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $115—No $3.3K—
Cong An Ha Noi FC vs. Kyoto Sanga FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
No $2.5K—No $3—
Port FC vs. Beijing Guoan: O/U 7.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $520—Under $1.7K—
Cong An Ha Noi FC vs. Kyoto Sanga FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $240—Under $1.2K—
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
No $97—No $1.3K—
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
same side · consensus No
No $388—No $677—
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
Boluspor $748—Boluspor $44—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702—Under $20—
Bratislava 2: Jerome Kym vs Lucas Poullain
same side · consensus Jerome Kym
Lucas Poullain $2—Lucas Poullain $545—
Port FC vs. Beijing Guoan: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $331—Under $43—
Cong An Ha Noi FC vs. Kyoto Sanga FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $310—Under $15—
FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $242—Under $47—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
Yes $117—Yes $162—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $262—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Exact Score: Port FC 1 - 1 Beijing Guoan?
same side · consensus No
No $77—No $61—
Port FC vs. Beijing Guoan: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $17—Under $48—