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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677RN1winner877
Record (consensus markets)55% (13369–10733, n=24102)43% (10–13, n=23)48% (19694–21447, n=41141)95% (1516–79, n=1595)
Consensus PnL$1.4M$3.2M$14.9M$51K
Tracked asPM monthly #14PM monthly #7PM monthly #35 + pinnedwas PM monthly #410
Sides with the consensus67% (94 of 141 open)no open consensus position55% (16 of 29 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topicNFL −24 pts, n=12——Other Sports −10 pts, n=16
Settled positions, side won56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%96% of 1528 at avg 97¢, ROI +1%
Entries under 30¢30% (won 9% of 919)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2594)1% (won 13% of 8)
Entries 30–50¢15% (won 37% of 455)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5704)0% (won 29% of 7)
Entries 50–70¢14% (won 63% of 439)65% (won 73% of 11)35% (won 99% of 9204)1% (won 67% of 12)
Entries 70¢ and up42% (won 94% of 1302)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8622)98% (won 97% of 1501)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

13 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpjoseph00677RN1winner877
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $12K—Over $1.8K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $872—Over $3.0K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $7—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $36—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $446—Under $1.4K—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $873—Yes $315—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $491—No $524—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $837—Yes $60—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $256—No $12—
Hersonissos 3: Johannus Monday vs Georgii Kravchenko
opposite sides · consensus Georgii Kravchenko
Georgii Kravchenko $13—Johannus Monday $21—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $2.4K—
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
same side · consensus Billy Harris
Billy Harris $1.7K—Billy Harris $6.2K—
Orleans: Hugo Grenier vs Martin Krumich
same side · consensus Hugo Grenier
Hugo Grenier $501—Hugo Grenier $1.8K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $9—Over $1.5K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $95—Under $1.1K—
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
Boluspor $751—Boluspor $44—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $721—Under $20—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $173—Yes $240—
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
Cavaliers $182—Cavaliers $116—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $203—Under $41—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $51—Over $29—
Exact Score: Vitesse Arnhem 0 - 0 De Graafschap?
same side · consensus No
No $3—No $19—