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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpndb1RN1winner877
Record (consensus markets)52% (7711–7000, n=14711)63% (1095–632, n=1727)48% (17936–19365, n=37301)95% (1516–78, n=1594)
Consensus PnL$4.1M$4.6M$14.9M$151K
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #111PM monthly #28 + pinnedPM monthly #407
Sides with the consensus72% (120 of 166 open)71% (70 of 98 open)56% (55 of 98 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15NFL −8 pts, n=147—Other Sports −10 pts, n=16
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%95% of 935 at avg 96¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)13% (won 14% of 187)10% (won 57% of 2594)1% (won 14% of 7)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)19% (won 39% of 269)22% (won 94% of 5704)1% (won 29% of 7)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 57% of 328)35% (won 99% of 9204)1% (won 78% of 9)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)44% (won 94% of 622)33% (won 100% of 8622)98% (won 97% of 912)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

32 on the same side, 24 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpndb1RN1winner877
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $25K—Yes $15K—
Will Racing Club de Lens vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $23K—Yes $2.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Over $1.7K—
Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Racing Club de Lens
Racing Club de Lens $8.3K—Olympique de Marseille $2—
Will ACF Fiorentina vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $6.2K—No $544—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K—
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 1 - 2 FC Barcelona?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.5K—Yes $4.1K—
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 1 - 3 FC Barcelona?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.6K—Yes $2.9K—
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.5K—Over $3.1K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $859—Over $3.0K—
Exact Score: ACF Fiorentina 1 - 1 Juventus FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $141—No $3.0K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $7—
Will CR Vasco da Gama vs. SE Palmeiras end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.8K—Yes $14—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $36—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $446—Under $1.4K—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $873—Yes $315—
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus FC Barcelona
Club Atlético de Madrid $935—FC Barcelona $88—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $471—No $524—
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $904—Under $37—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $837—Yes $60—
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 238.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $280—Over $161—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $272—No $11—
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: FC Barcelona O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2—Over $51—
Spread: 76ers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
76ers $17—Bulls $3—
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $123K—No $39K—
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $49K—No $24K—
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $31K—No $15K—
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $37K—No $3.5K—
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $32K—No $5.0K—
WTA Finals, Group A: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova
same side · consensus Linda Noskova
Linda Noskova $12K—Linda Noskova $10K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $2.5K—
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 3 - 3 FC Barcelona?
same side · consensus No
No $259—No $16K—
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)
same side · consensus Club Atlético de Madrid
Club Atlético de Madrid $13K—Club Atlético de Madrid $3.0K—
Will CF Estrela da Amadora win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $8.4K—No $3.8K—
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)
same side · consensus Club Atlético de Madrid
Club Atlético de Madrid $12K—Club Atlético de Madrid $138—
Racing Club de Lens vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $8.0K—Over $3.1K—
FC Barcelona leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
No $3.8K—No $6.0K—
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus FC Barcelona
FC Barcelona $9.2K—FC Barcelona $53—
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)
same side · consensus FC Barcelona
FC Barcelona $3.6K—FC Barcelona $3.2K—
ACF Fiorentina vs. Juventus FC: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $3.1K—Under $3.1K—
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 3 - 2 FC Barcelona?
same side · consensus No
No $583—No $4.6K—
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: FC Barcelona O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $3.7K—Under $468—
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 0 - 0 FC Barcelona?
same side · consensus No
No $820—No $1.6K—
Will Club The Strongest win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $698—No $1.3K—
Racing Club de Lens vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.5K—Over $402—
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
same side · consensus Bulls
76ers $1.0K—76ers $903—
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: Club Atlético de Madrid O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $521—Under $1.1K—
Knoxville: Mitchell Krueger vs Samir Banerjee
same side · consensus Mitchell Krueger
Samir Banerjee $1.4K—Samir Banerjee $188—
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 2 - 1 FC Barcelona?
same side · consensus No
No $944—No $192—
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 235.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $800—Over $309—