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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| HRTrading | RN1 | CORGII | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 55% (2951–2450, n=5401) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $11K | $13.4M | $4.5M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #990 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #68 | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 59% (94 of 160 open) | 52% (56 of 108 open) | 25% (1 of 4 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 378 at avg 66¢, ROI +35% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 100% of 28) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 100% of 77) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 26% (won 99% of 97) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 47% (won 100% of 176) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
31 on the same side, 22 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | HRTrading | RN1 | CORGII | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grêmio FBPA vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $73 | Under $9.2K | — | — |
| Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs Imperial (BO5) - Gamers Club Masters Playoffs opposite sides · consensus DENDELE CS | DENDELE CS $4 | — | Imperial $7.9K | — |
| Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $47 | Over $7.0K | — | — |
| Sioux Falls: Dylan Dietrich vs Liam Draxl opposite sides · consensus Dylan Dietrich | Dylan Dietrich $1 | Liam Draxl $5.2K | — | — |
| Charlottesville: Jangjun Kim vs Ozan Baris opposite sides · consensus Ozan Baris | Jangjun Kim $4 | Ozan Baris $4.0K | — | — |
| Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $43 | Over $2.5K | — | — |
| Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $32 | No $2.2K | — | — |
| Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $61 | Yes $934 | — | — |
| Juventus FC leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $6 | Yes $648 | — | — |
| SC Braga vs. FC Famalicão: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2 | Over $207 | — | — |
| Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $1 | Under $190 | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Celtics $3 | Magic $161 | — | — |
| Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $5 | Over $142 | — | — |
| Villa Maria: Felipe de Dios vs Joao Victor Couto Loureiro opposite sides · consensus Joao Victor Couto Loureiro | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro $138 | Felipe de Dios $1 | — | — |
| Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus No | No $13 | Yes $102 | — | — |
| Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $23 | Over $39 | — | — |
| SC Braga vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $32 | Under $30 | — | — |
| Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $48 | Over $12 | — | — |
| Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 7.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $5 | Over $50 | — | — |
| Villa Maria: Valentin Garay vs Nicolas Bruna opposite sides · consensus Nicolas Bruna | Valentin Garay $5 | Nicolas Bruna $17 | — | — |
| Villa Maria: Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto vs Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen opposite sides · consensus Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto | Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto $21 | Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen $1 | — | — |
| Cerro Porteno vs. Club Olimpia: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $2 | Under $4 | — | — |
| Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | No $1.1K | No $26K | — | — |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys same side · consensus Cowboys | Cowboys $145 | Cowboys $12K | — | — |
| Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | No $110 | No $6.7K | — | — |
| Costa do Sauipe: Gabriel Schenekenberg vs Joao Eduardo Schiessl same side · consensus Joao Eduardo Schiessl | Joao Eduardo Schiessl $4 | Joao Eduardo Schiessl $4.3K | — | — |
| Will Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw? same side · consensus No | No $37 | No $4.1K | — | — |
| Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | No $44 | No $3.3K | — | — |
| Will Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw? same side · consensus No | No $70 | No $2.6K | — | — |
| Exact Score: Athletic Club 0 - 0 Real Sociedad de Fútbol? same side · consensus No | No $1 | No $2.1K | — | — |
| Exact Score: Juventus FC 3 - 0 SSC Napoli? same side · consensus No | No $6 | No $2.1K | — | — |
| Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5) same side · consensus Toulouse FC | Toulouse FC $4 | Toulouse FC $1.8K | — | — |
| Exact Score: Juventus FC 0 - 0 SSC Napoli? same side · consensus No | No $9 | No $1.3K | — | — |
| Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 224.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $88 | Under $954 | — | — |
| Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | No $159 | No $516 | — | — |
| Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $11 | Under $643 | — | — |
| Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: 1st Half O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $2 | Over $526 | — | — |
| Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $17 | Under $335 | — | — |
| Bratislava 2: Jonas Forejtek vs Ryan Seggerman same side · consensus Ryan Seggerman | Ryan Seggerman $13 | Ryan Seggerman $294 | — | — |
| Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 218.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $64 | Under $213 | — | — |
| Will Club Universitario de Deportes win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | No $5 | No $227 | — | — |
| Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 220.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $3 | Under $228 | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | Magic $2 | Magic $228 | — | — |
| Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus Yes | No $39 | No $185 | — | — |
| Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $22 | Under $141 | — | — |
| Will SC Braga win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | No $133 | No $18 | — | — |
| Will Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw? same side · consensus No | Yes $9 | Yes $108 | — | — |
| SSC Napoli leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | No $18 | No $4 | — | — |
| Telstar 1963 vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $1 | Over $20 | — | — |
| Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus Yes | No $1 | No $18 | — | — |