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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
Add:BreakTheBankCORGIIsainttroplay00gringo000x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241primm
| LuckyLoo | beachboy4 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (7841–8070, n=15911) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 48% (12778–13831, n=26609) |
| Consensus PnL | $59K | $5.8M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #328 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 46% (66 of 142 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 60% (79 of 132 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| |
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 3524 at avg 64¢, ROI +38% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 99% of 352) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 22% (won 100% of 766) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 23% (won 100% of 798) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 46% (won 100% of 1608) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
34 on the same side, 21 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | LuckyLoo | beachboy4 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Real Racing Club vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $6 | — | No $13K |
| Will IFK Goteborg win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus No | No $12K | — | Yes $4 |
| Will IK Start win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $50 | — | No $4.6K |
| Will Angers SCO win on 2026-10-31? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $48 | — | No $2.9K |
| Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $10 | — | No $1.9K |
| Paris FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $1 | — | Under $1.8K |
| Paris FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $8 | — | Under $1.6K |
| Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $1.4K | — | Over $12 |
| Paris FC vs. AS Monaco FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $4 | — | Under $1.3K |
| IF Elfsborg vs. Orgryte IS: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $11 | — | Over $1.2K |
| Will FC Arouca win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus No | No $551 | — | Yes $119 |
| Olympique Lyonnais vs. Angers SCO: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $4 | — | Under $553 |
| Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Real Madrid CF | Real Madrid CF $159 | — | Real Racing Club $329 |
| Will FC Lugano win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $107 | — | Yes $335 |
| Will FC Thun win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $11 | — | No $326 |
| Exact Score: Real Racing Club 0 - 3 Real Madrid CF? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $67 | — | Yes $95 |
| FC Groningen vs. Sparta Rotterdam: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $30 | — | Under $93 |
| FC Arouca vs. CD Nacional: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $36 | — | Under $7 |
| Exact Score: Liverpool FC 1 - 3 Arsenal FC? opposite sides · consensus No | No $2 | — | Yes $36 |
| SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs. Rot-Weiss Essen: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $9 | — | Over $24 |
| Will SK Rapid win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $3 | — | No $19 |
| Olympique Lyonnais vs. Angers SCO: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $4.7K | — | Over $17K |
| Real Racing Club vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $1.3K | — | Under $10K |
| Exact Score: Liverpool FC 1 - 1 Arsenal FC? same side · consensus No | No $3.3K | — | No $4.9K |
| Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $710 | — | Over $2.8K |
| Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $27 | — | Over $2.8K |
| Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: Draw at halftime? same side · consensus No | No $1.9K | — | No $63 |
| Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $65 | — | Over $1.2K |
| Spread: Real Sporting de Gijón (-1.5) same side · consensus Real Sporting de Gijón | AD Ceuta FC $26 | — | AD Ceuta FC $1.0K |
| FC Arouca vs. CD Nacional: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $689 | — | Under $82 |
| Will Paris FC win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $181 | — | Yes $500 |
| Lausanne-Sport vs. FC Thun: O/U 7.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $62 | — | Over $490 |
| Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | Yes $23 | — | Yes $520 |
| Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | No $5 | — | No $530 |
| Kasımpaşa SK vs. Beşiktaş JK: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $85 | — | Over $400 |
| FK Austria Wien vs. SK Rapid: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $109 | — | Under $257 |
| Exact Score: Liverpool FC 3 - 1 Arsenal FC? same side · consensus No | No $86 | — | No $207 |
| Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 6.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $9 | — | Over $277 |
| Will Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | No $19 | — | No $265 |
| Arsenal FC leading at halftime? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $135 | — | Yes $121 |
| Kasımpaşa SK vs. Beşiktaş JK: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $3 | — | Under $207 |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | Magic $64 | — | Magic $119 |
| Real Racing Club vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 6.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $2 | — | Over $178 |
| US Lecce vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $158 | — | Under $15 |
| Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Kristiansund BK: O/U 7.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $36 | — | Over $56 |
| Lausanne-Sport vs. FC Thun: O/U 6.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $9 | — | Over $70 |
| PAOK Thessaloniki vs. Asteras Tripolis: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $12 | — | Under $62 |
| Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5) same side · consensus Arsenal FC | Liverpool FC $1 | — | Liverpool FC $51 |
| Exact Score: Liverpool FC 3 - 2 Arsenal FC? same side · consensus No | Yes $2 | — | Yes $33 |
| IK Start vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $25 | — | Under $4 |