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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
NooseracBreakTheBankRN10x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241
Record (consensus markets)52% (5263–4808, n=10071)45% (526–640, n=1166)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)56% (101–79, n=180)
Consensus PnL$1.4M$10.6M$13.4M$3.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #40PM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #373
Sides with the consensus76% (48 of 63 open)73% (73 of 100 open)53% (57 of 108 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topicOther Sports −1 pts, n=164———
Settled positions, side won54% of 10037 at avg 51¢, ROI +3%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 19% of 1314)10% (won 85% of 53)10% (won 56% of 2534)7% (won 75% of 8)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 46% of 3582)36% (won 98% of 192)22% (won 94% of 5497)26% (won 93% of 29)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 61% of 3477)35% (won 99% of 187)36% (won 99% of 8897)42% (won 96% of 47)
Entries 70¢ and up17% (won 85% of 1664)20% (won 100% of 107)31% (won 100% of 7736)24% (won 96% of 27)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

13 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketNooseracBreakTheBankRN10x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Cowboys $2.8KCardinals $3.0KCowboys $1.4K—
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cardinals $59KCowboys $12K—
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $4.5KYes $39K——
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $4.8KYes $14K——
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2.5KNo $16K——
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $11KYes $28——
Grêmio FBPA vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $781—Under $9.2K—
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.7K—No $3.3K—
Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Cowboys $5.2K—Cardinals $629—
Spread: Bengals (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bengals
Bengals $990—Titans $696—
Spread: Bengals (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bengals
Bengals $1.3K—Titans $271—
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $13KNo $407K——
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $51KMagic $228—
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.7KYes $20K——
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $844Yes $16K——
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $13KMagic $161—
Spread: Bengals (-1.5)
same side · consensus Titans
Titans $7.3K—Titans $1.2K—
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $4.8KYes $3.0K——
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $192Yes $2.5K——
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.7KYes $967——
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $334Yes $2.3K——
Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.3KYes $118——
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.1KYes $193——
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $56Yes $164——