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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
SnakeBallBreakTheBank0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241RN1
Record (consensus markets)49% (16489–17243, n=33732)45% (526–640, n=1166)56% (101–79, n=180)48% (12778–13831, n=26609)
Consensus PnL$556K$10.6M$3.5M$13.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #148PM monthly #1was PM monthly #373PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus60% (53 of 89 open)70% (57 of 82 open)no open consensus position62% (94 of 151 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 3710 at avg 65¢, ROI +46%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 100% of 363)10% (won 85% of 53)7% (won 75% of 8)10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢21% (won 100% of 781)36% (won 98% of 192)26% (won 93% of 29)22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢20% (won 100% of 747)35% (won 99% of 187)42% (won 96% of 47)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up49% (won 100% of 1819)20% (won 100% of 107)24% (won 96% of 27)31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

27 on the same side, 32 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketSnakeBallBreakTheBank0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241RN1
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
—Browns $300K—Steelers $91
Browns vs. Steelers
opposite sides · consensus Steelers
—Browns $259K—Steelers $3.6K
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $105K—Jets $257
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
—Bills $35K—Ravens $1.2K
Spread: Cowboys (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
—Cardinals $32K—Cowboys $21
Will Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $28——No $24K
Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
—Falcons $8.6K—Buccaneers $1.6K
Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.1K——Yes $5.8K
Paris FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $4.8K——Under $1.2K
Exact Score: Liverpool FC 0 - 2 Arsenal FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $78——No $3.4K
Vålerenga Fotball vs. Tromsø IL: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $702——Under $2.7K
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cardinals $2.7K—Cowboys $605
Exact Score: Liverpool FC 2 - 1 Arsenal FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $4——No $2.7K
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $15——No $2.4K
Will Paris FC win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1.4K——No $737
Exact Score: Liverpool FC 3 - 1 Arsenal FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $10——No $2.1K
Exact Score: Liverpool FC 3 - 2 Arsenal FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.6K——Yes $5
Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $5——Over $1.5K
Vikings vs. Lions: O/U 44.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $115——Over $1.4K
Exact Score: Olympique Lyonnais 1 - 2 Angers SCO?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $12——No $1.5K
Exact Score: Liverpool FC 2 - 2 Arsenal FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.1K——Yes $23
Exact Score: Liverpool FC 0 - 3 Arsenal FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.1K——Yes $2
Raiders vs. Jets: O/U 42.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $221——Under $631
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $29——No $530
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Angers SCO: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $188——Over $144
Will Paris FC vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $286——Yes $2
Elche CF leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $145——Yes $89
PAOK Thessaloniki vs. Asteras Tripolis: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $38——Under $61
CA Boca Juniors vs. CA River Plate: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $82——Over $3
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $32——Yes $52
Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $3——No $35
Will NK Lokomotiva Zagreb win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2——No $22
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $1.9K——No $14K
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $511——Yes $7.4K
Will US Lecce win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $4.3K——No $2.7K
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $3.5K——No $3.1K
Exact Score: Liverpool FC 1 - 1 Arsenal FC?
same side · consensus No
No $43——No $4.6K
Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $26——Over $4.0K
Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-1.5)
same side · consensus Olympique Lyonnais
Olympique Lyonnais $251——Olympique Lyonnais $3.1K
Exact Score: Eintracht Frankfurt 1 - 1 Hamburger SV?
same side · consensus No
No $1.7K——No $1.4K
Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $242——Under $2.8K
Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $530——Under $2.4K
Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $57——No $1.6K
Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: Liverpool FC O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.3K——Under $60
Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.1K——Under $75
Exact Score: Liverpool FC 1 - 2 Arsenal FC?
same side · consensus No
No $793——No $145
Will Bohemians Praha 1905 win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
Yes $9——Yes $897
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Angers SCO: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $161——Under $437
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $5——Over $358
Will AC Renate win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $265——Yes $8