← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| TimeTraveler | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (1444–1347, n=2791) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 48% (12930–14106, n=27036) |
| Consensus PnL | $156K | $5.8M | $10.6M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #963 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 94% (78 of 83 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 85% (52 of 61 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 77% of 1741 at avg 37¢, ROI +3% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 35% (won 45% of 618) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 38% (won 91% of 654) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 20% (won 97% of 353) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 7% (won 100% of 116) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
22 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.