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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| UpTheBlues | RN1 | BreakTheBank | CORGII | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (17998–18484, n=36482) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 62% (393–245, n=638) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.4M | $13.4M | $10.6M | $4.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #68 |
| Sides with the consensus | 61% (112 of 183 open) | 58% (26 of 45 open) | 73% (72 of 98 open) | 25% (1 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 37860 at avg 66¢, ROI +37% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 99% of 2645) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 9% (won 92% of 36) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 21% (won 100% of 7907) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 56% (won 99% of 223) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 22% (won 100% of 8513) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 33% (won 100% of 133) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 50% (won 100% of 18795) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 2% (won 100% of 7) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
16 on the same side, 21 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | UpTheBlues | RN1 | BreakTheBank | CORGII |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | Magic $55 | Magic $228 | Magic $51K | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | Magic $104 | Magic $161 | Magic $13K | — |
| Chiefs vs. Broncos opposite sides · consensus Chiefs | Broncos $559 | — | Chiefs $465K | — |
| Spread: Chiefs (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Chiefs | Broncos $4.0K | — | Chiefs $152K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $18K | Over $2.4K | — | — |
| Villa Maria: Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto vs Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen opposite sides · consensus Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto | Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto $9.0K | Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen $1 | — | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $7.3K | Over $382 | — | — |
| Villa Maria: Felipe de Dios vs Joao Victor Couto Loureiro opposite sides · consensus Joao Victor Couto Loureiro | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro $6.3K | Felipe de Dios $1 | — | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $1.9K | Over $3.0K | — | — |
| Guayaquil: Joaquin Aguilar vs Hugo Dellien opposite sides · consensus Joaquin Aguilar | Hugo Dellien $927 | Joaquin Aguilar $3.8K | — | — |
| Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A opposite sides · consensus TheMongolz | Legacy $870 | — | — | TheMongolz $2.2K |
| Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $493 | No $2.2K | — | — |
| Costa do Sauipe: Leonardo Storck Franca vs Jose Pereira opposite sides · consensus Leonardo Storck Franca | Leonardo Storck Franca $2.6K | Jose Pereira $129 | — | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $2.7K | Yes $10 | — | — |
| SC Braga vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $1.2K | Over $768 | — | — |
| SC Braga vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $1.5K | Over $5 | — | — |
| SC Braga vs. FC Famalicão: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $955 | Over $207 | — | — |
| SC Braga vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $376 | Over $542 | — | — |
| Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus No | No $809 | Yes $102 | — | — |
| Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 218.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $575 | Under $213 | — | — |
| Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 220.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $137 | Under $228 | — | — |
| Will CA Grau win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus No | No $156 | Yes $22 | — | — |
| Will CA Grau vs. Club Universitario de Deportes end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $5 | No $5 | — | — |
| Costa do Sauipe: Andre Souza vs Wilson Leite same side · consensus Wilson Leite | Wilson Leite $951 | Wilson Leite $12K | — | — |
| Sioux Falls: Dylan Dietrich vs Liam Draxl same side · consensus Liam Draxl | Liam Draxl $5.1K | Liam Draxl $5.2K | — | — |
| Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | No $6.3K | No $3.3K | — | — |
| Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs Imperial (BO5) - Gamers Club Masters Playoffs same side · consensus DENDELE CS | Imperial $78 | — | — | Imperial $7.9K |
| Charlottesville: Jangjun Kim vs Ozan Baris same side · consensus Ozan Baris | Ozan Baris $1.2K | Ozan Baris $4.0K | — | — |
| SC Braga vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $2.7K | Under $30 | — | — |
| Bratislava 2: Jonas Forejtek vs Ryan Seggerman same side · consensus Ryan Seggerman | Ryan Seggerman $2.0K | Ryan Seggerman $294 | — | — |
| Charlottesville: Shunsuke Mitsui vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux same side · consensus Shunsuke Mitsui | Shunsuke Mitsui $1.6K | Shunsuke Mitsui $5 | — | — |
| Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 224.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $96 | Under $954 | — | — |
| Villa Maria: Valentin Garay vs Nicolas Bruna same side · consensus Nicolas Bruna | Nicolas Bruna $786 | Nicolas Bruna $17 | — | — |
| SC Braga vs. FC Famalicão: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $178 | Under $405 | — | — |
| CA Grau vs. Club Universitario de Deportes: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $159 | Over $244 | — | — |
| Spread: SC Braga (-1.5) same side · consensus SC Braga | FC Famalicão $54 | FC Famalicão $21 | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-9.5) same side · consensus Magic | Celtics $31 | Celtics $3 | — | — |