Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
	WarriorH	0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188	BreakTheBank	sainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)	9% (298–3192, n=3490)	46% (131–154, n=285)	45% (542–652, n=1194)	71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL	$130K	-$6.6M	$11.0M	$4.4M
Tracked as	PM monthly #71	was PM monthly #715	PM monthly #1	was PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensus	82% (127 of 154 open)	no open consensus position	87% (135 of 155 open)	no open consensus position
Strongest topics	NBA +3 pts n=10, ROI −2%	NHL +4 pts n=196, ROI +5%	NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50% NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48% Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%	Soccer +51 pts n=10, ROI +52%
Weakest topic	Entertainment −13 pts, n=147	College Basketball −12 pts, n=174	—	—
Settled positions, side won	11% of 2095 at avg 17¢, ROI −4%	49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2%	97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%	100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢	83% (won 1% of 1737)	0% (won 17% of 6)	10% (won 82% of 56)	0%
Entries 30–50¢	4% (won 36% of 87)	42% (won 46% of 565)	36% (won 98% of 198)	50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢	4% (won 51% of 87)	57% (won 51% of 766)	35% (won 99% of 191)	50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up	9% (won 83% of 184)	0% (won 100% of 4)	19% (won 100% of 107)	0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

74 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market	WarriorH	0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188	BreakTheBank	sainttroplay
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No	Yes $5	—	No $119K	—
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes	No $429	—	No $30K	—
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No	Yes $328	—	Yes $29K	—
Will Republicans win Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $17	—	Yes $22K	—
Will Republicans win Iowa and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $11	—	Yes $15K	—
Will Republicans win Iowa and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $11	—	Yes $14K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska and Kansas, and lose Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $10	—	Yes $12K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Maine, Michigan, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $12	—	Yes $11K	—
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $14	—	Yes $9.3K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Michigan and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $4	—	Yes $9.3K	—
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $6	—	Yes $7.9K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $6	—	Yes $7.2K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Ohio and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $10	—	Yes $6.4K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Maine and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $10	—	Yes $6.4K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $5	—	Yes $6.4K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Maine, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $8	—	Yes $5.7K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $7	—	Yes $5.0K	—
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $7	—	Yes $5.0K	—
Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $7	—	Yes $5.0K	—
Will Republicans win Iowa, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $4	—	Yes $5.0K	—
Will Republicans win Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $4	—	Yes $5.0K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Maine, and Michigan? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $3	—	Yes $4.7K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $3	—	Yes $4.6K	—
Will Republicans win Ohio and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $5	—	Yes $3.7K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $3	—	Yes $3.6K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Kansas and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $3	—	Yes $3.6K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $3	—	Yes $3.6K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas and Michigan? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $3	—	Yes $3.6K	—
Will Republicans win Iowa, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $3	—	Yes $3.6K	—
Will Republicans win Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Michigan? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $3	—	Yes $3.6K	—
Will Republicans win Maine and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $3	—	Yes $3.6K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Maine, and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $6	—	Yes $2.1K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Michigan, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $6	—	Yes $2.1K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Maine, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $6	—	Yes $2.1K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, and Maine? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $6	—	Yes $2.1K	—
Will Republicans win Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $6	—	Yes $2.1K	—
Will Republicans win Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $6	—	Yes $2.1K	—
Will Republicans win Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $6	—	Yes $2.1K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Maine, and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $6	—	Yes $2.1K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Iowa and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $6	—	Yes $2.1K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Iowa, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $6	—	Yes $2.1K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Michigan, and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $6	—	Yes $2.1K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $6	—	Yes $2.1K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $6	—	Yes $2.1K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Kansas, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $6	—	Yes $2.1K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $6	—	Yes $2.1K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $6	—	Yes $2.1K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $6	—	Yes $2.1K	—
Will Republicans win Alaska, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $6	—	Yes $2.1K	—
Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Kansas? same side · consensus Yes	Yes $6	—	Yes $2.1K	—