Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
biying88888BreakTheBankjoseph00677primm
Record (consensus markets)58% (209–152, n=361)41% (589–853, n=1442)43% (10–13, n=23)50% (1246–1260, n=2506)
Consensus PnL-$5.7K$7.7M$3.3M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #997PM monthly #1PM monthly #8PM monthly #53
Sides with the consensus38% (15 of 39 open)77% (47 of 61 open)no open consensus position52% (15 of 29 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 112 at avg 49¢, ROI +49%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢0%10% (won 82% of 60)12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢54% (won 100% of 61)36% (won 98% of 212)6% (won 0% of 1)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢45% (won 100% of 50)35% (won 100% of 205)65% (won 73% of 11)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up1% (won 100% of 1)20% (won 100% of 116)18% (won 67% of 3)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

12 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbiying88888BreakTheBankjoseph00677primm
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $4.1KUnder $208K—Over $6.8K
Giants vs. Eagles
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Eagles $13KGiants $190K—Eagles $5.6K
Spread: Giants (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Giants
Giants $4.3KGiants $11K—Eagles $3.4K
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
same side · consensus Colts
Colts $771Colts $101K—Colts $94
Cowboys vs. Colts
same side · consensus Cowboys
Colts $703Colts $49K—Colts $5.7K
Spread: Giants (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Eagles $26KGiants $67K——
Spread: Giants (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
—Giants $68K—Eagles $131
Spread: Chiefs (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
Jets $252Chiefs $21K——
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
Cowboys $130Colts $17K——
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $4.4K——Under $5.3K
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 48.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $445——Under $6.8K
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 50.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $691——Under $1.6K
Browns vs. Saints
opposite sides · consensus Saints
Saints $2.0K——Browns $113
Spread: Eagles (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Giants $765——Eagles $957
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 34.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $79——Over $924
Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)
same side · consensus Colts
Colts $92Colts $179K——
Spread: Giants (-3.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
Giants $1.2KGiants $37K——
Broncos vs. Panthers
same side · consensus Broncos
Panthers $5.9K——Panthers $6.6K
Spread: Rams (-3.5)
same side · consensus Commanders
Commanders $6.2K——Commanders $133
Spread: Giants (-5.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
Eagles $3.5K——Eagles $195
Rams vs. Commanders
same side · consensus Rams
Commanders $3.3K——Commanders $285
Browns vs. Saints: O/U 40.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $155——Under $3.3K
Cowboys vs. Colts: O/U 46.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $2.2K——Under $97
Spread: Cowboys (-2.5)
same side · consensus Cowboys
Colts $125——Colts $63
Spread: Saints (-9.5)
same side · consensus Browns
Saints $7——Saints $50