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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| black-rabbit | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (434–390, n=824) | 55% (13369–10733, n=24102) | 43% (10–13, n=23) | 48% (19694–21447, n=41141) |
| Consensus PnL | $415K | $1.4M | $3.2M | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #716 | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #35 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 67% (95 of 141 open) | no open consensus position | 53% (16 of 30 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | NFL −24 pts, n=12 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 57% of 712 at avg 51¢, ROI +9% | 56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 28% (won 4% of 197) | 30% (won 9% of 919) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 17% (won 24% of 119) | 15% (won 37% of 455) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 86% of 168) | 14% (won 63% of 439) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 32% (won 99% of 228) | 42% (won 94% of 1302) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
12 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | black-rabbit | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $12K | — | Over $1.8K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $4.5K | — | Yes $1.9K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $872 | — | Over $3.0K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3.1K | — | Yes $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | — | Over $36 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $446 | — | Under $1.4K |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $873 | — | Yes $315 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $491 | — | No $524 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $837 | — | Yes $60 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $256 | — | No $12 |
| Hersonissos 3: Johannus Monday vs Georgii Kravchenko opposite sides · consensus Georgii Kravchenko | — | Georgii Kravchenko $11 | — | Johannus Monday $24 |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $14K | — | No $2.4K |
| Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady same side · consensus Billy Harris | — | Billy Harris $1.7K | — | Billy Harris $6.2K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $9 | — | Over $1.5K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $95 | — | Under $1.1K |
| Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5) same side · consensus Boluspor | — | Boluspor $751 | — | Boluspor $44 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $721 | — | Under $20 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $173 | — | Yes $240 |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5) same side · consensus Hornets | — | Cavaliers $182 | — | Cavaliers $114 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $203 | — | Under $41 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $51 | — | Over $29 |
| Exact Score: Vitesse Arnhem 0 - 0 De Graafschap? same side · consensus No | — | No $3 | — | No $19 |