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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| blue.birds | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 36% (1918–3455, n=5373) | 53% (5927–5304, n=11231) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 47% (13363–14875, n=28238) |
| Consensus PnL | $9.7K | $3.3M | $5.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #452 | PM monthly #21 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 91% (10 of 11 open) | 64% (229 of 359 open) | no open consensus position | 66% (125 of 189 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | Crypto −6 pts, n=1141 | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 16% of 1141 at avg 22¢, ROI −4% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 74% (won 1% of 843) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 8% (won 13% of 87) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 8% (won 53% of 93) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 10% (won 97% of 118) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
52 on the same side, 23 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | blue.birds | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | — | Over $1.5K |
| Cali: Laura Samson vs Carole Monnet opposite sides · consensus Laura Samson | — | Laura Samson $596 | — | Carole Monnet $9.0K |
| Spread: Olympiakós SFP (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Stade Rennais FC 1901 | — | Stade Rennais FC 1901 $5.9K | — | Olympiakós SFP $32 |
| Cali: Alice Tubello vs Marina Bassols Ribera opposite sides · consensus Alice Tubello | — | Alice Tubello $3.1K | — | Marina Bassols Ribera $1.9K |
| Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $3.8K | — | Over $14 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $1.4K | — | Over $2.4K |
| Costa do Sauipe: Gonzalo Bueno vs Eduardo Ribeiro opposite sides · consensus Gonzalo Bueno | — | Gonzalo Bueno $1.4K | — | Eduardo Ribeiro $2.0K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $317 | — | No $2.5K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | — | Over $35 |
| Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $1.0K | — | Yes $1.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.1K | — | Yes $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $486 | — | No $529 |
| Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $213 | — | No $677 |
| Spread: Hawks (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Hawks | — | Wizards $237 | — | Hawks $430 |
| Spread: Thunder (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | — | Cavaliers $325 | — | Thunder $273 |
| W75 Petange: Oceane Dodin vs Eva Bennemann opposite sides · consensus Oceane Dodin | — | Oceane Dodin $281 | — | Eva Bennemann $99 |
| W75 Petange: Marie Weckerle vs Anna Siskova opposite sides · consensus Anna Siskova | — | Anna Siskova $274 | — | Marie Weckerle $55 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | — | Pacers $202 | — | Grizzlies $119 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Suns $125 | — | Trail Blazers $99 |
| Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $116 | — | Over $86 |
| Exact Score: Stade Rennais FC 1901 0 - 1 Olympiakós SFP? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $21 | — | No $132 |
| Exact Score: Stade Rennais FC 1901 0 - 0 Olympiakós SFP? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $50 | — | Yes $63 |
| Exact Score: Stade Rennais FC 1901 3 - 1 Olympiakós SFP? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $26 | — | No $15 |
| Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 0 - 1 Arsenal FC? same side · consensus No | — | No $101K | — | No $4.4K |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $77K | — | Yes $20K |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Matteo Berrettini vs Ugo Humbert same side · consensus Matteo Berrettini | — | Matteo Berrettini $7.9K | — | Matteo Berrettini $14K |
| Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5) same side · consensus Olympiakós SFP | — | Olympiakós SFP $21K | — | Olympiakós SFP $109 |
| Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | No $15K | — | No $5.3K |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus Yes | — | No $19K | — | No $73 |
| Oxford United FC vs. Reading FC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $9.6K | — | Over $7.9K |
| Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $12K | — | Under $4.0K |
| Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $9.8K | — | Under $5.4K |
| Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $7.2K | — | Under $6.8K |
| Cardiff City FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $8.6K | — | Under $12 |
| Exact Score: Fenerbahçe SK 2 - 1 Liverpool FC? same side · consensus No | — | No $5.7K | — | No $2.8K |
| Bratislava 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Mika Brunold same side · consensus Nishesh Basavareddy | — | Nishesh Basavareddy $186 | — | Nishesh Basavareddy $6.1K |
| BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $3.4K | — | Under $2.4K |
| Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $2.8K | — | Under $3.0K |
| Bratislava 2: Jerome Kym vs Luka Pavlovic same side · consensus Jerome Kym | — | Jerome Kym $261 | — | Jerome Kym $3.6K |
| Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus No | — | No $3.2K | — | No $622 |
| Cali: Despina Papamichail vs Renata Zarazua same side · consensus Renata Zarazua | — | Renata Zarazua $552 | — | Renata Zarazua $2.4K |
| Bratislava 2: Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg vs Zsombor Piros same side · consensus Zsombor Piros | — | Zsombor Piros $2.4K | — | Zsombor Piros $296 |
| Bratislava 2: Lukas Pokorny vs Toby Samuel same side · consensus Toby Samuel | — | Toby Samuel $2.0K | — | Toby Samuel $434 |
| Villa Maria: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Hernan Casanova same side · consensus Juan Manuel La Serna | — | Juan Manuel La Serna $1.5K | — | Juan Manuel La Serna $13 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $5 | — | Over $1.5K |
| Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28? same side · consensus No | — | No $42 | — | No $1.3K |
| Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-2.5) same side · consensus Olympiakós SFP | — | Olympiakós SFP $1.2K | — | Olympiakós SFP $104 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $101 | — | Under $1.1K |
| KV Kortrijk vs. Yellow-Red KV Mechelen: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $1.2K | — | Over $15 |
| Spread: Pistons (-2.5) same side · consensus 76ers | — | 76ers $776 | — | 76ers $240 |