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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| duratio12 | Flaznorp | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (25–31, n=56) | 52% (7711–7000, n=14711) | 63% (1095–632, n=1727) | 48% (17936–19365, n=37301) |
| Consensus PnL | $16K | $4.1M | $4.6M | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #858 | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #111 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 70% (86 of 123 open) | 71% (70 of 98 open) | 51% (36 of 71 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 89% of 65 at avg 56¢, ROI +4% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 14% (won 78% of 9) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 29% (won 79% of 19) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 95% of 19) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 28% (won 100% of 18) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
12 on the same side, 19 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | duratio12 | Flaznorp | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | — | Over $1.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $4.5K | — | Yes $1.9K |
| Spread: Pistons (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Pistons | — | Pistons $4.0K | — | Lakers $84 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $859 | — | Over $3.0K |
| 76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 239.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $3.1K | — | Under $515 |
| 76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 237.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $2.5K | — | Under $980 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3.1K | — | Yes $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | — | Over $36 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $446 | — | Under $1.4K |
| 76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 223.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $1.2K | — | Under $25 |
| CD Unión La Calera vs. CD Huachipato: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.1K | — | Over $141 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $873 | — | Yes $315 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $471 | — | No $524 |
| 76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 225.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $981 | — | Under $10 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $837 | — | Yes $60 |
| Rio Ave FC vs. SC Braga: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $773 | — | Over $72 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $272 | — | No $11 |
| Spread: Richmond Spiders (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Richmond Spiders | — | Temple Owls $64 | — | Richmond Spiders $183 |
| Spread: 76ers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus 76ers | — | 76ers $17 | — | Bulls $3 |
| Will CF Estrela da Amadora win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $11K | — | No $6.3K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $14K | — | No $2.5K |
| CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $5.7K | — | Over $1.3K |
| CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $1.5K | — | Over $2.0K |
| 76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 235.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $2.9K | — | Over $318 |
| Will Club The Strongest win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.1K | — | No $1.3K |
| Spread: 76ers (-9.5) same side · consensus Bulls | — | 76ers $959 | — | 76ers $1.1K |
| 76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 231.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $1.2K | — | Over $32 |
| Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5) same side · consensus Boluspor | — | Boluspor $747 | — | Boluspor $44 |
| Spread: Pistons (-1.5) same side · consensus Pistons | — | Pistons $612 | — | Pistons $169 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $702 | — | Under $20 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 |