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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
joseph00677Multicoloured-SerfRN1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)45% (10–12, n=22)47% (270–304, n=574)47% (14165–15679, n=29844)50% (20844–20530, n=41374)
Consensus PnL$5.3M-$145K$14.8M$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #23PM monthly #31 + pinnedPM monthly #8
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position65% (20 of 31 open)56% (44 of 79 open)70% (31 of 44 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%100% of 215 at avg 52¢, ROI +51%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 0% of 2)0% (won 100% of 1)10% (won 57% of 2593)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 0% of 1)47% (won 100% of 100)22% (won 94% of 5682)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢65% (won 73% of 11)47% (won 100% of 101)35% (won 99% of 9181)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up18% (won 67% of 3)6% (won 100% of 13)33% (won 100% of 8519)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 22 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketjoseph00677Multicoloured-SerfRN1UpTheBlues
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.6KUnder $21K
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Heat $14KWarriors $520—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $360Under $7.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $1.9KNo $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.5KUnder $5.2K
Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $990Under $4.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $3.3KUnder $1.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $7No $2.7K
Spread: Jaguars (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
—Ravens $13Jaguars $2.0K—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KAthletic Club $218
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 71.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $924Over $890—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $36Under $1.5K
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.1KYes $69
Spread: Magic (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
—Magic $13Suns $860—
Spread: UTSA (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic
—UTSA $26Florida Atlantic $775—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $192No $249
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Athletic Club $354
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 73.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $29Over $244—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $61No $172
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Warriors
—Heat $122Warriors $110—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $29Under $12
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $20Over $5
Spread: UTSA (-6.5)
same side · consensus UTSA
—UTSA $13KUTSA $652—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $2.5KNo $3.1K
Spread: James Madison (-13.5)
same side · consensus James Madison
—Southern Miss $4.9KSouthern Miss $56—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $1.1KUnder $945
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.3KUnder $64
Spread: James Madison (-14.5)
same side · consensus Southern Miss
—Southern Miss $327Southern Miss $616—
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 236.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $693Under $234—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $42Under $796
Spread: Jaguars (-8.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
—Ravens $9Ravens $636—
James Madison vs. Southern Miss
same side · consensus James Madison
—Southern Miss $85Southern Miss $498—