← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| lissartter | BreakTheBank | CORGII | 00gringo00 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (3366–3514, n=6880) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 75% (6–2, n=8) |
| Consensus PnL | -$188K | $10.6M | $4.5M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #320 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #68 | was PM monthly #19 |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (75 of 124 open) | 73% (72 of 98 open) | 25% (1 of 4 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | NHL −10 pts, n=10 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 81% of 4796 at avg 65¢, ROI 0% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 19% (won 30% of 894) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 10% (won 74% of 490) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 15% (won 88% of 737) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 100% (won 86% of 7) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 56% (won 97% of 2675) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
11 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.