Skip to content
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
lissartterCORGIIBreakTheBanksainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)49% (3366–3514, n=6880)62% (393–245, n=638)45% (526–640, n=1166)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL-$188K$4.5M$10.6M$4.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #320PM monthly #68PM monthly #1was PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensus60% (78 of 130 open)25% (1 of 4 open)74% (72 of 97 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicNHL −10 pts, n=10———
Settled positions, side won81% of 4796 at avg 65¢, ROI 0%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢19% (won 30% of 894)9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 85% of 53)0%
Entries 30–50¢10% (won 74% of 490)56% (won 99% of 223)36% (won 98% of 192)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 88% of 737)33% (won 100% of 133)35% (won 99% of 187)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up56% (won 97% of 2675)2% (won 100% of 7)20% (won 100% of 107)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

11 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketlissartterCORGIIBreakTheBanksainttroplay
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $3.1K—Yes $272K—
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $2.8K—Yes $169K—
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $218—Yes $73K—
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $2.0K—Yes $51K—
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.2K—Yes $37K—
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $39—Yes $38K—
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $809—Yes $28K—
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $2.2K—No $10K—
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $8.0K—Yes $943—
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.7K—Yes $4.6K—
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $297—Yes $4.1K—
Chiefs vs. Broncos
same side · consensus Chiefs
Chiefs $2.0K—Chiefs $465K—
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
same side · consensus No
No $9.6K—No $412K—
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
same side · consensus No
No $11K—No $252K—
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
No $149—No $184K—
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
Yes $274—Yes $77K—
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
No $6.5K—No $40K—
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $908—No $35K—
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $226—No $24K—
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $46—Yes $14K—
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $922—Yes $2.2K—
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $546—No $590—