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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
looppauRN1BreakTheBankprimm
Record (consensus markets)99% (10724–37, n=10761)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)45% (526–640, n=1166)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$22K$13.4M$10.6M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #799PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus67% (4 of 6 open)57% (85 of 150 open)72% (79 of 109 open)62% (21 of 34 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicOther Sports ±0 pts, n=483———
Settled positions, side won100% of 7520 at avg 100¢, ROI 0%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢0% (won 43% of 7)10% (won 56% of 2534)10% (won 85% of 53)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢0% (won 0% of 3)22% (won 94% of 5497)36% (won 98% of 192)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢0% (won 100% of 1)36% (won 99% of 8897)35% (won 99% of 187)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up100% (won 100% of 7509)31% (won 100% of 7736)20% (won 100% of 107)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

15 on the same side, 19 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketlooppauRN1BreakTheBankprimm
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
—Bills $18KBills $51KRavens $696
Spread: Jets (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $2.7KRaiders $24KJets $284
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cowboys $1.4KCardinals $3.0KCardinals $1.1K
Ravens vs. Bills
same side · consensus Bills
—Bills $22KBills $378KBills $395
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
—Steelers $1.9KBrowns $297K—
Browns vs. Steelers
opposite sides · consensus Steelers
—Steelers $6.0KBrowns $255K—
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cowboys $12KCardinals $59K—
Spread: Raiders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
—Jets $109Raiders $17K—
Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $7.0K—Under $1.8K
Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Falcons
—Falcons $2.7K—Buccaneers $3.0K
Spread: Bills (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
—Ravens $647—Bills $4.5K
Spread: Bills (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bills
—Bills $4.0K—Ravens $295
Spread: Buccaneers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
—Falcons $1.3K—Buccaneers $2.3K
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 50.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.3K—Under $2.1K
Spread: Bills (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
——Bills $2.1KRavens $376
Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 54.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $2.2K—Over $8
Browns vs. Steelers: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $902—Under $1.2K
Browns vs. Steelers: O/U 48.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.0K—Under $17
Spread: Steelers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Steelers
—Steelers $225—Browns $471
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 58.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $434—Under $65
Raiders vs. Jets
same side · consensus Raiders
——Raiders $171KRaiders $5.8K
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $4.3KRaiders $104K—
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $228Magic $51K—
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
—Jaguars $1.1KJaguars $20K—
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $161Magic $13K—
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 64.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $9.2K—Under $2.8K
Spread: Bills (-10.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
—Bills $4.0K—Bills $2.7K
Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 50.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $4.8K—Under $575
Spread: Steelers (-6.5)
same side · consensus Steelers
—Steelers $4.7K—Steelers $156
Charlottesville: Jangjun Kim vs Ozan Baris
same side · consensus Ozan Baris
Ozan Baris $174Ozan Baris $4.0K——
Spread: Bills (-17.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
—Bills $2.5K—Bills $282
Spread: Jaguars (-14.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
—Jaguars $2.5K—Jaguars $4
Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)
same side · consensus Cowboys
—Cardinals $629—Cardinals $1.0K
Spread: Bills (-16.5)
same side · consensus Bills
—Bills $93—Bills $662