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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ndb1 | RN1 | UpTheBlues | Venusian | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 63% (1095–632, n=1727) | 48% (17933–19364, n=37297) | 50% (26154–25785, n=51939) | 45% (1509–1815, n=3324) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.6M | $14.8M | $1.4M | $96K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #113 | PM monthly #30 + pinned | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #114 |
| Sides with the consensus | 72% (71 of 98 open) | 57% (93 of 164 open) | 66% (39 of 59 open) | 44% (65 of 147 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 50377 at avg 70¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 796 at avg 71¢, ROI +32% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) | 7% (won 99% of 3291) | 7% (won 100% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) | 18% (won 100% of 9212) | 19% (won 100% of 148) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) | 20% (won 100% of 9904) | 17% (won 100% of 137) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) | 56% (won 100% of 27970) | 57% (won 100% of 455) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
40 on the same side, 42 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ndb1 | RN1 | UpTheBlues | Venusian |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $1.7K | Under $20K | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cowboys $1.8K | — | Colts $18K |
| Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $15K | — | Yes $129 |
| Jets vs. Chiefs opposite sides · consensus Chiefs | — | Chiefs $13K | — | Jets $106 |
| TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $10K | — | Under $4 |
| Spread: Rams (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Commanders | — | Rams $7.4K | — | Commanders $1.8K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $360 | Under $7.6K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $1.9K | No $5.4K | — |
| Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $586 | — | Yes $6.7K |
| Spread: Lions (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Lions | — | Lions $5.6K | — | Dolphins $27 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $3.0K | Under $2.0K | — |
| Spread: Saints (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Browns | — | Browns $3.5K | — | Saints $11 |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $2.9K | — | Yes $3 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $7 | No $2.7K | — |
| Spread: Broncos (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Panthers | — | Panthers $2.0K | — | Broncos $421 |
| Spread: Lions (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Dolphins | — | Dolphins $2.2K | — | Lions $20 |
| Brown Bears vs. Lehigh Mountain Hawks opposite sides · consensus Lehigh Mountain Hawks | — | Lehigh Mountain Hawks $1.4K | — | Brown Bears $661 |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K | Athletic Club $226 | — |
| Spread: Saints (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Browns | — | Browns $1.8K | — | Saints $23 |
| Spread: Saints (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Browns | — | Browns $1.5K | — | Saints $222 |
| Exact Score: ACF Fiorentina 1 - 1 Juventus FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.3K | — | Yes $317 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $36 | Under $1.5K | — |
| Spread: Broncos (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Broncos | — | Panthers $1.3K | — | Broncos $100 |
| Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 1 - 3 FC Barcelona? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $98 | — | No $1.3K |
| Broncos vs. Panthers: O/U 44.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $1.3K | — | Under $12 |
| Green Bay Phoenix vs. St. Thomas (MN) Tommies opposite sides · consensus St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | — | St. Thomas (MN) Tommies $1.1K | — | Green Bay Phoenix $98 |
| Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.1K | Yes $74 | — |
| Racing Club de Lens vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $1.0K | — | Under $49 |
| Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 0 - 3 FC Barcelona? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $45 | — | No $881 |
| Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 34.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $657 | — | Under $123 |
| Cowboys vs. Colts: O/U 50.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $524 | — | Under $56 |
| Exact Score: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 3 - 3 FC Schalke 04? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $79 | — | No $350 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 | Athletic Club $354 | — |
| Spread: Broncos (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Broncos | — | Broncos $120 | — | Panthers $154 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $60 | No $174 | — |
| Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 1 - 0 FC Barcelona? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $13 | — | No $209 |
| CD Anaitasuna vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $177 | No $24 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $29 | Under $12 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $20 | Over $5 | — |
| Will FC Utrecht vs. NEC end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $3 | — | No $8 |
| Will CE Sabadell FC win on 2026-10-28? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $3 | No $8 |
| FC Barcelona leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $2 | — | Yes $2 |
| Lima: Nicolas Barrientos vs Alan Magadan same side · consensus Nicolas Barrientos | — | Alan Magadan $33K | — | Alan Magadan $1.4K |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $24K | — | No $4.9K |
| Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $17K | — | No $7.0K |
| Will NEC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.9K | — | No $19K |
| Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $4.2K | — | Yes $2.5K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $2.5K | No $3.1K | — |
| Spread: Chiefs (-4.5) same side · consensus Chiefs | — | Chiefs $5.4K | — | Chiefs $95 |
| Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $4.4K | — | No $323 |