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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
topdogbigboiRN1beachboy4
Record (consensus markets)45% (3528–4316, n=7844)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)68% (43–20, n=63)
Consensus PnL$435$13.4M$5.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #967PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensus64% (72 of 112 open)55% (65 of 119 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic——NBA −6 pts, n=92
Settled positions, side won100% of 1153 at avg 62¢, ROI +44%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 97% of 112)10% (won 56% of 2534)3% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 100% of 257)22% (won 94% of 5497)29% (won 56% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢27% (won 100% of 313)36% (won 99% of 8897)54% (won 51% of 115)
Entries 70¢ and up41% (won 100% of 471)31% (won 100% of 7736)14% (won 86% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

32 on the same side, 21 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarkettopdogbigboiRN1beachboy4
Spread: Bills (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Bills $47Ravens $7.0K—
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $55Over $5.4K—
Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
Buccaneers $196Falcons $2.7K—
Spread: Bengals (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bengals
Bengals $83Titans $2.2K—
Spread: Bengals (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bengals
Bengals $7Titans $1.6K—
Spread: Bengals (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bengals
Bengals $151Titans $1.1K—
Spread: Titans (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bengals
Bengals $350Titans $766—
Spread: Titans (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Titans
Bengals $228Titans $655—
Exact Score: Juventus FC 2 - 1 SSC Napoli?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $35No $791—
Spread: Bengals (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bengals
Bengals $21Titans $696—
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 58.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $91Over $434—
SC Braga vs. FC Famalicão: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $19Under $405—
Will Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $257Yes $108—
Will Club Universitario de Deportes win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $81No $227—
Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $42No $185—
Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $3Under $141—
Will CA Grau win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $89Yes $22—
Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $100Under $6—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $58No $26—
Villa Maria: Valentin Garay vs Nicolas Bruna
opposite sides · consensus Nicolas Bruna
Valentin Garay $5Nicolas Bruna $17—
Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $9Over $12—
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $368No $26K—
Spread: Cowboys (-13.5)
same side · consensus Cardinals
Cardinals $269Cardinals $11K—
Spread: Steelers (-14.5)
same side · consensus Browns
Steelers $351Steelers $9.1K—
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 64.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $156Under $9.2K—
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 52.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $56Under $7.2K—
Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $271Over $7.0K—
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $65No $6.7K—
Sioux Falls: Dylan Dietrich vs Liam Draxl
same side · consensus Dylan Dietrich
Liam Draxl $10Liam Draxl $5.2K—
Will Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $82No $4.1K—
Spread: Bills (-17.5)
same side · consensus Bills
Bills $513Bills $2.5K—
Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 58.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $96Under $2.8K—
Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 54.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $658Under $2.2K—
Will Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $52No $2.6K—
Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $86Over $2.5K—
Spread: Cowboys (-16.5)
same side · consensus Cardinals
Cardinals $55Cardinals $2.2K—
Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $16Under $1.8K—
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
same side · consensus Cowboys
Cowboys $133Cowboys $1.4K—
Exact Score: Juventus FC 0 - 0 SSC Napoli?
same side · consensus No
No $70No $1.3K—
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 50.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $3Over $1.3K—
Spread: Bengals (-2.5)
same side · consensus Titans
Titans $220Titans $826—
Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $2Under $1.0K—
Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
Yes $28Yes $934—
Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $13Under $643—
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $93No $516—
Spread: Bills (-16.5)
same side · consensus Bills
Bills $417Bills $93—
Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $43Over $358—
SC Braga vs. FC Famalicão: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $2Over $207—
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 48.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $38Under $141—
Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $2Over $142—