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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 00gringo00 | 0x9b129aD05Bc0a8df3C73DfCC66fE75252DaEC2D5-1778811687225 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 34% (439–840, n=1279) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 53% (10–9, n=19) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.5M | $119K | $11.0M | $5.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #32 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #2 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 65% (221 of 339 open) | 52% (59 of 113 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Soccer −1 pts, n=687 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 59% of 3904 at avg 59¢, ROI +1% | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 38% (won 3% of 1478) | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 12% (won 0% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 3% (won 43% of 121) | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 6% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 4% (won 70% of 163) | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 65% (won 73% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 55% (won 98% of 2142) | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 18% (won 67% of 3) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
12 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.