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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpRN1Winning2...
Record (consensus markets)54% (4945–4167, n=9112)55% (13343–10705, n=24048)48% (19652–21409, n=41061)31% (1185–2614, n=3799)
Consensus PnL$8.5M$1.4M$14.9M-$28K
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #14PM monthly #35 + pinnedPM monthly #599
Sides with the consensus47% (8 of 17 open)67% (80 of 119 open)56% (15 of 27 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +10 pts n=467, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2316, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
  • NBA +2 pts n=462, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=155, ROI +1%
  • NHL +4 pts n=178, ROI 0%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136NFL −24 pts, n=12—Mentions −32 pts, n=23
Settled positions, side won59% of 7152 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%31% of 3748 at avg 31¢, ROI −1%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)30% (won 9% of 919)10% (won 57% of 2594)52% (won 19% of 1949)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 46% of 1753)15% (won 37% of 455)22% (won 94% of 5704)38% (won 38% of 1422)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2092)14% (won 63% of 439)35% (won 99% of 9204)9% (won 62% of 350)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2125)42% (won 94% of 1302)33% (won 100% of 8622)1% (won 85% of 27)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

11 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpRN1Winning2...
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5KYes $1.9K—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: James Duckworth vs Cameron Norrie
opposite sides · consensus Cameron Norrie
—Cameron Norrie $4.1KJames Duckworth $490—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann
opposite sides · consensus Alex Michelsen
—Alex Michelsen $1.1KYannick Hanfmann $2.8K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $872Over $2.4K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $7—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $446Under $1.4K—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $873Yes $315—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $491No $524—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837Yes $60—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $256No $12—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.5K—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
Yes $6.4KYes $2.8K——
Hersonissos 3: Alexandre Reco vs Lorenzo Carboni
same side · consensus Lorenzo Carboni
—Lorenzo Carboni $1.8KLorenzo Carboni $361—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $95Under $1.1K—
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $751Boluspor $44—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $721Under $20—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $173Yes $240—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $203Under $41—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $51Over $29—
Exact Score: Vitesse Arnhem 0 - 0 De Graafschap?
same side · consensus No
—No $4No $21—