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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpRN1robustmst
Record (consensus markets)58% (4527–3305, n=7832)52% (6509–6024, n=12533)48% (14163–15644, n=29807)48% (137–151, n=288)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.6M$14.8M$276K
Tracked asPM monthly #14PM monthly #10PM monthly #30 + pinnedPM monthly #47
Sides with the consensus73% (22 of 30 open)70% (125 of 179 open)54% (28 of 52 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=459, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2301, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1407, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%86% of 155 at avg 50¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)29% (won 11% of 465)10% (won 57% of 2593)4% (won 83% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1743)16% (won 40% of 255)22% (won 94% of 5682)47% (won 79% of 73)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2080)16% (won 62% of 260)35% (won 99% of 9181)43% (won 92% of 66)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2114)39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 100% of 8519)6% (won 90% of 10)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

23 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpRN1robustmst
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus Bilibili Gaming
Bilibili Gaming $305KDplus KIA $30——
Charlottesville: Andres Andrade vs James Kent Trotter
opposite sides · consensus James Kent Trotter
—Andres Andrade $4.4KJames Kent Trotter $19K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.6K—
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $11KUnder $254——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4KYes $1.9K—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.8KNo $499——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $586Over $3.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $7—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476Under $1.3K—
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.1KUnder $185—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $466No $529—
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Diletta Cherubini
—Diletta Cherubini $279Ipek Oz $678—
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Heat $81Warriors $500—
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Warriors
—Heat $444Warriors $107—
Exact Score: Cruzeiro EC 1 - 0 EC Bahia?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $131Yes $28—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.5K—
Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Franco Roncadelli
same side · consensus Thiago Seyboth Wild
—Thiago Seyboth Wild $2.4KThiago Seyboth Wild $11K—
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $8.7KOver $1.1K—
Utah vs. Canadiens
same side · consensus Utah
Utah $8.5KUtah $254——
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.9KNo $3.2K—
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic
same side · consensus UTSA
—Florida Atlantic $39Florida Atlantic $6.2K—
East Texas A&M Lions vs. Rice Owls
same side · consensus East Texas A&M Lions
East Texas A&M Lions $4.4KEast Texas A&M Lions $933——
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $2.3KOver $1.2K—
New Hampshire Wildcats vs. Rider Broncs
same side · consensus Rider Broncs
Rider Broncs $2.8KRider Broncs $255——
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: Draw at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $524No $2.5K—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K—
Stars vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.0KUnder $322—
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Canucks
—Canucks $22Canucks $1.2K—
Exact Score: Cruzeiro EC 0 - 1 EC Bahia?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $781Yes $118—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702Under $20—
Will Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $487No $138—
Canucks vs. Jets
same side · consensus Jets
—Canucks $143Canucks $354—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $139Yes $192—
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $8Under $313—
Spread: Warriors (-8.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Warriors $174Warriors $97—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $176Under $42—
Stars vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $28Under $11—