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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465RN1spartacrayUpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)58% (4522–3297, n=7819)48% (14139–15621, n=29760)no settled market50% (20932–20600, n=41532)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$14.8M—$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #54PM monthly #28 + pinned—PM monthly #7
Sides with the consensus60% (15 of 25 open)58% (88 of 152 open)no open consensus position70% (32 of 46 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
not computed yet
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134———
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%—100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)10% (won 57% of 2593)—7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)22% (won 94% of 5682)—21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)35% (won 99% of 9181)—22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)33% (won 100% of 8519)—51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 20 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465RN1spartacrayUpTheBlues
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $128KNo $11K——
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus KKS Lech Poznań
KKS Lech Poznań $60KSport Lisboa e Benfica $15K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.5K—Under $22K
Rolex Paris Masters: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Casper Ruud
opposite sides · consensus Casper Ruud
Jan-Lennard Struff $2.7KCasper Ruud $6.6K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $360—Under $7.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $1.9K—No $5.4K
Bratislava 2: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Kimmer Coppejans
opposite sides · consensus Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Kimmer Coppejans $81Nicolai Budkov Kjaer $6.8K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.5K—Under $5.2K
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $6.3KUnder $9——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $3.3K—Under $1.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $7—No $2.7K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K—Athletic Club $218
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $36—Under $1.5K
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $758—Yes $130
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $192—No $249
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—Athletic Club $354
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $61—No $172
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $218Yes $10——
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $29—Under $12
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $20—Over $5
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $200KYes $18K——
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $93KNo $27K——
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $44KNo $20K——
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.5K—No $3.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $1.1K—Under $945
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.3K—Under $64
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $42—Under $796
Will FK Jablonec win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $38No $164——
Spread: Panathinaikós AO (-1.5)
same side · consensus PFK CSKA Sofia
PFK CSKA Sofia $17PFK CSKA Sofia $56——