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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x53eCc53E7 | beachboy4 | joseph00677 | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 40% (317–471, n=788) | 67% (43–21, n=64) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 66% (872–458, n=1330) |
| Consensus PnL | $17K | $5.8M | $5.6M | $4.1M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #540 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #22 |
| Sides with the consensus | 70% (61 of 87 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | no open consensus position | 73% (95 of 130 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | MLB −2 pts, n=64 | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 |
| Settled positions, side won | 36% of 814 at avg 33¢, ROI −2% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 55% (won 7% of 447) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 16% of 160) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 13% (won 44% of 105) | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 39% of 252) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 15% (won 63% of 121) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 24% (won 57% of 306) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 17% (won 97% of 141) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 43% (won 93% of 540) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
18 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.