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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241FlaznorpLightParadoxndb1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market52% (6618–6146, n=12764)48% (1145–1252, n=2397)63% (993–576, n=1569)
Consensus PnL—$3.6M-$29K$4.8M
Tracked as—PM monthly #10was PM monthly #853PM monthly #97
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position74% (112 of 151 open)67% (18 of 27 open)69% (52 of 75 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%100% of 668 at avg 70¢, ROI +31%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 465)7% (won 100% of 49)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 40% of 255)21% (won 100% of 139)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢—16% (won 62% of 260)15% (won 100% of 102)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up—39% (won 94% of 637)57% (won 100% of 378)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241FlaznorpLightParadoxndb1
FK Polissia vs. RNK Veres Rivne: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $271Yes $38—
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $254Over $31—
SK Rapid vs. Wolfsberger AC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $38No $121—
Luanda: Justina Mikulskyte vs Noma Noha Akugue
opposite sides · consensus Noma Noha Akugue
—Noma Noha Akugue $82Justina Mikulskyte $25—
Will Venezia FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.9KNo $2.7K—
Will FK Livyi Bereh win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.1KNo $219—
Utebo FC vs. CE Sabadell FC: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $199Over $199—
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs
same side · consensus FURIA
—BetBoom Team $16BetBoom Team $199—
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $132No $28—
Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)
same side · consensus CD Pamplona
—CD Pamplona $127CD Pamplona $10—
FC UTA Arad vs. FC Petrolul Ploieşti: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $67Over $41—
FK Polissia vs. RNK Veres Rivne: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $68Under $29—