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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241FlaznorpLightParadoxndb1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market75% (743–249, n=992)50% (210–209, n=419)no settled market
Consensus PnL—$70K$1.9K$2
Tracked as—PM monthly #14PM monthly #247PM monthly #152
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position68% (89 of 130 open)40% (22 of 55 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +55 pts n=59, ROI +54%
  • Soccer +37 pts n=41, ROI +44%
  • Tennis +23 pts n=16, ROI +18%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—52% of 211 at avg 50¢, ROI +3%100% of 133 at avg 54¢, ROI +35%50% of 2 at avg 19¢, ROI +9%
Entries under 30¢—31% (won 9% of 66)8% (won 100% of 10)100% (won 50% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢—27% (won 45% of 56)51% (won 100% of 68)0%
Entries 50–70¢—13% (won 68% of 28)20% (won 100% of 26)0%
Entries 70¢ and up—29% (won 97% of 61)22% (won 100% of 29)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

16 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241FlaznorpLightParadoxndb1
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Borna Gojo vs Ugo Humbert
opposite sides · consensus Ugo Humbert
—Ugo Humbert $1.7KBorna Gojo $103—
Spread: OL Lyonnes (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus OL Lyonnes
—OL Lyonnes $1.2KJuventus FC $10—
WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Mirra Andreeva
opposite sides · consensus Mirra Andreeva
—Aryna Sabalenka $984Mirra Andreeva $105—
Spread: Broendby IF (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rosenborg BK Kvinner
—Rosenborg BK Kvinner $925Broendby IF $24—
Fenerbahce Istanbul vs. Real Sociedad San Sebastian: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $486Under $13—
Londrina EC vs. Clube Náutico Capibaribe: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $482Under $4—
Wizards vs. Pacers: O/U 232.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $265Over $178—
Spread: Hammarby IF (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hammarby IF
—Hammarby IF $345Spartak Myjava $16—
Will Tigres FC win on 2026-11-11?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $324Yes $12—
Will Broendby IF vs. Rosenborg BK Kvinner end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $260Yes $6—
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. PSV Eindhoven: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $244Over $2—
Exact Score: Juventus FC 0 - 3 OL Lyonnes?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $27No $44—
Wizards vs. Pacers: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $48Over $4—
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
—Spurs $4Bulls $1—
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-11?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.2KNo $7.7K—
Spread: Lakers (-6.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
—Bucks $2.6KBucks $102—
Monastir: Aziz Dougaz vs Alejandro Moro Canas
same side · consensus Alejandro Moro Canas
—Alejandro Moro Canas $1.2KAlejandro Moro Canas $530—
Will Spartak Myjava win on 2026-11-11?
same side · consensus No
—No $349No $841—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Casper Ruud
same side · consensus Casper Ruud
—Alexander Shevchenko $1.0KAlexander Shevchenko $4—
Spread: Pelicans (-7.5)
same side · consensus Pelicans
—Pelicans $266Pelicans $96—
Juventus FC vs. OL Lyonnes: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $284Over $41—
Spread: New Zealand (-1.5)
same side · consensus India
—India $151India $19—
Will Ajax Amsterdam win on 2026-11-11?
same side · consensus No
—No $125No $17—
Will New Zealand vs. India end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $81No $19—
Will Londrina EC vs. Clube Náutico Capibaribe end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $84Yes $12—
Hammarby IF vs. Spartak Myjava: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $69Over $14—
M25 San Gregorio di Catania: Matteo Gribaldo vs Federico Iannaccone
same side · consensus Federico Iannaccone
—Matteo Gribaldo $20Matteo Gribaldo $58—
Exact Score: Broendby IF 1 - 1 Rosenborg BK Kvinner?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $26Yes $2—
Hammarby IF vs. Spartak Myjava: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $20Over $6—
Spread: Rockets (-6.5)
same side · consensus Rockets
—Rockets $4Rockets $3—