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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5E5175106a7Dbbd92B10f1b56458Fc8c1Bdd42ce-1730865746538beachboy4FlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled marketno settled market53% (5919–5290, n=11209)47% (13355–14864, n=28219)
Consensus PnL——$3.3M$14.8M
Tracked as——PM monthly #21PM monthly #23 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position71% (182 of 256 open)52% (23 of 44 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnot computed yet
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won——56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢——29% (won 11% of 423)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢——16% (won 40% of 243)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢——17% (won 62% of 255)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up——38% (won 94% of 561)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

20 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5E5175106a7Dbbd92B10f1b56458Fc8c1Bdd42ce-1730865746538beachboy4FlaznorpRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $13KOver $943
Taipei: Yuta Shimizu vs August Holmgren
opposite sides · consensus Yuta Shimizu
——Yuta Shimizu $2.3KAugust Holmgren $9.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $1.4KOver $2.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $3.0KYes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KOver $35
W75 Petange: Dalma Galfi vs Kira Pavlova
opposite sides · consensus Dalma Galfi
——Kira Pavlova $1.0KDalma Galfi $605
W50 Heraklion: Deborah Chiesa vs Sarah Van Emst
opposite sides · consensus Deborah Chiesa
——Sarah Van Emst $210Deborah Chiesa $1.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $466No $529
Buriram United leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $483Yes $52
M25 Valencia: Carles Hernandez vs Marcel Zielinski
opposite sides · consensus Marcel Zielinski
——Marcel Zielinski $136Carles Hernandez $26
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $39KUnder $45
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $14KNo $2.5K
Bratislava 2: Vitaliy Sachko vs Otto Virtanen
same side · consensus Otto Virtanen
——Otto Virtanen $904Otto Virtanen $10K
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
——No $6.3KNo $1.5K
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
——No $4.5KNo $207
Will CD Tenerife win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
——No $115No $3.3K
M25 Valencia: Samuele Pieri vs Sergio Planella Hernandez
same side · consensus Samuele Pieri
——Samuele Pieri $1.4KSamuele Pieri $1.6K
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Maya Joint vs Maria Sakkari
same side · consensus Maya Joint
——Maya Joint $1.3KMaya Joint $1.4K
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
——No $42No $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $100Under $1.1K
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
same side · consensus No
——No $380No $663
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
——Boluspor $747Boluspor $44
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $702Under $20
W35 Liberec: Lenka Munzarova vs Vittoria Paganetti
same side · consensus Vittoria Paganetti
——Vittoria Paganetti $107Vittoria Paganetti $585
W50 Heraklion: Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur vs Elena Korokozidi
same side · consensus Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
——Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur $144Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur $257
W50 Heraklion: Eliska Tichackova vs Alessandra Mazzola
same side · consensus Eliska Tichackova
——Eliska Tichackova $215Eliska Tichackova $96
FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $239Under $46
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $117Yes $162
M25 Heraklion: Jeremy Gschwendtner vs Michael Wright
same side · consensus Jeremy Gschwendtner
——Jeremy Gschwendtner $118Jeremy Gschwendtner $150
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $262Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1