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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5e83c9db1593a9113fffa791797cf9655b383bb7BreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)40% (1291–1924, n=3215)45% (573–710, n=1283)52% (6524–6030, n=12554)48% (14139–15621, n=29760)
Consensus PnL-$21K$7.9M$3.5M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #920PM monthly #3PM monthly #23PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus30% (6 of 20 open)82% (23 of 28 open)78% (331 of 423 open)66% (134 of 204 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicMentions −1 pts, n=17—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won26% of 1255 at avg 22¢, ROI 0%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢71% (won 7% of 891)11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 465)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢12% (won 60% of 149)35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 255)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢12% (won 75% of 147)35% (won 100% of 201)16% (won 62% of 260)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up5% (won 85% of 68)20% (won 100% of 115)39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

106 on the same side, 60 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5e83c9db1593a9113fffa791797cf9655b383bb7BreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $2—Under $37KUnder $3.5K
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $51—No $25KNo $14K
Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $2—No $23KNo $17K
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2—No $34KNo $5.9K
Atalanta BC vs. Qairat FK: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2—No $3.3KNo $25
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $13KOver $1.5K
Lillestrøm SK vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $10KYes $1.7K
Atalanta BC vs. Qairat FK: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $9.3KOver $1.4K
RSC Anderlecht vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $8.8KOver $722
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2—No $8.5K—
Will Lillestrøm SK vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $8.1KYes $106
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $2.7KOver $4.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $4.4KYes $1.9K
Will Mjällby AIF win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $4.8KNo $165
Cali: Luisina Giovannini vs Bianca Andreescu
opposite sides · consensus Bianca Andreescu
——Bianca Andreescu $3.0KLuisina Giovannini $1.5K
Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg
opposite sides · consensus Max Hans Rehberg
——Daniel Milavsky $624Max Hans Rehberg $3.6K
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $700—No $3.3K—
RSC Anderlecht vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $3.8KUnder $204
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $586Over $3.3K
PFK Levski Sofia vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $3.3KUnder $215
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $3.1KYes $7
Lillestrøm SK vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $764Over $2.0K
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.7KOver $82
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KOver $36
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.5KOver $12
RSC Anderlecht vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $2.4KUnder $37
Exact Score: Kuopion PS 1 - 0 KAA Gent?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $1.0KNo $1.2K
Exact Score: AC Sparta Praha 1 - 2 AFC Bournemouth?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $640Yes $1.5K
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $1.7KNo $312
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $476Under $1.3K
Exact Score: AC Milan 1 - 2 Ferencvárosi TC?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $377No $1.1K
Exact Score: AC Milan 0 - 3 Ferencvárosi TC?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $33No $1.4K
Will FC Thun vs. Heart of Midlothian FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.3KYes $13
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $466No $529
AC Milan leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $929Yes $8
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $900Over $4
RSC Anderlecht vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $880Over $5
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $875Over $2
Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Crystal Palace FC
——Crystal Palace FC $851TSG 1899 Hoffenheim $3
PFK Levski Sofia vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $717Yes $137
Exact Score: Atalanta BC 1 - 2 Qairat FK?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $733Yes $33
NEC vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $165Under $596
W75 Petange: Lisa Pigato vs Greet Minnen
opposite sides · consensus Greet Minnen
——Greet Minnen $686Lisa Pigato $43
Exact Score: PFK Levski Sofia 0 - 0 Jagiellonia Białystok?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $619Yes $10
Will Everton FC win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $10—No $597—
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $20—No $558—
AC Sparta Praha vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $467Over $59
W35 Orlando, FL: Sloane Stephens vs Luciana Perry
opposite sides · consensus Sloane Stephens
——Sloane Stephens $407Luciana Perry $54
Exact Score: AC Milan 0 - 2 Ferencvárosi TC?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $358No $31
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $15—No $359—