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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x7750cdd6207bda401911ad3657253af46491a3f3BreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market46% (555–663, n=1218)53% (5919–5290, n=11209)47% (13355–14864, n=28219)
Consensus PnL—$11.2M$3.3M$14.8M
Tracked as—PM monthly #2PM monthly #21PM monthly #23 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position65% (20 of 31 open)71% (170 of 241 open)62% (24 of 39 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won—97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 81% of 57)29% (won 11% of 423)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢—36% (won 98% of 201)16% (won 40% of 243)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 99% of 196)17% (won 62% of 255)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up—19% (won 100% of 109)38% (won 94% of 561)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

19 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x7750cdd6207bda401911ad3657253af46491a3f3BreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $13KOver $943
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $1.4KOver $2.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $3.0KYes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KOver $35
W50 Heraklion: Deborah Chiesa vs Sarah Van Emst
opposite sides · consensus Deborah Chiesa
——Sarah Van Emst $210Deborah Chiesa $1.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $466No $529
Buriram United leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $853Yes $52
M25 Valencia: Carles Hernandez vs Marcel Zielinski
opposite sides · consensus Marcel Zielinski
——Marcel Zielinski $136Carles Hernandez $26
Rolex Paris Masters: Quentin Halys vs Frances Tiafoe
same side · consensus Quentin Halys
——Quentin Halys $25KQuentin Halys $40K
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $39KUnder $45
Chennai Open: Robin Montgomery vs Jeline Vandromme
same side · consensus Jeline Vandromme
——Jeline Vandromme $6.4KJeline Vandromme $12K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $14KNo $2.5K
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
——No $6.3KNo $1.5K
M25 Valencia: Samuele Pieri vs Sergio Planella Hernandez
same side · consensus Samuele Pieri
——Samuele Pieri $2.1KSamuele Pieri $1.6K
Will CD Tenerife win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
——No $115No $3.3K
Buriram United vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.9KUnder $7
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
——No $42No $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $100Under $1.1K
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
same side · consensus No
——No $380No $663
Buriram United vs. Kashima Antlers: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $339Over $668
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
——Boluspor $747Boluspor $44
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $702Under $20
M25 Heraklion: Melios Efstathiou vs Pavlos Tsitsipas
same side · consensus Pavlos Tsitsipas
——Pavlos Tsitsipas $457Pavlos Tsitsipas $10
FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $239Under $46
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $117Yes $162
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $262Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Exact Score: Buriram United 1 - 0 Kashima Antlers?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $29Yes $2