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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026FlaznorpRN1TunSahur
Record (consensus markets)35% (3645–6670, n=10315)52% (6492–5997, n=12489)47% (14055–15545, n=29600)no settled market
Consensus PnL$3.0M$3.3M$14.8M—
Tracked asPM monthly #699PM monthly #24PM monthly #29 + pinned—
Sides with the consensus73% (16 of 22 open)72% (182 of 253 open)59% (19 of 32 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yet
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%—
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 423)10% (won 57% of 2538)—
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 40% of 243)22% (won 94% of 5565)—
Entries 50–70¢—17% (won 62% of 255)36% (won 99% of 9017)—
Entries 70¢ and up—38% (won 94% of 561)33% (won 100% of 8250)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

19 on the same side, 18 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026FlaznorpRN1TunSahur
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.6KUnder $14KOver $1.5K—
Taranto: Felix Gill vs Buvaysar Gadamauri
opposite sides · consensus Felix Gill
Buvaysar Gadamauri $237Buvaysar Gadamauri $231Felix Gill $190—
Taranto: Kilian Feldbausch vs Remy Bertola
opposite sides · consensus Kilian Feldbausch
Remy Bertola $1Remy Bertola $32Kilian Feldbausch $259—
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys
same side · consensus Tommy Paul
Tommy Paul $56KTommy Paul $12KTommy Paul $32K—
Taipei: Coleman Wong vs Chun-Chien Hou
same side · consensus Coleman Wong
Coleman Wong $5.2KColeman Wong $853Coleman Wong $5.0K—
Taipei: Carl Overbeck vs Kasidit Samrej
same side · consensus Kasidit Samrej
Kasidit Samrej $171Kasidit Samrej $3.3KKasidit Samrej $161—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4KYes $1.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.1KOver $2.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $7—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $154Yes $2.6K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476Under $1.3K—
Taranto: Adrian Andreev vs Matteo Martineau
opposite sides · consensus Matteo Martineau
Adrian Andreev $1.4KMatteo Martineau $218——
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $754Yes $375—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $466No $529—
Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Bayer 04 Leverkusen $495Olympique de Marseille $478——
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $831Yes $61—
Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Thunder vs Perth Scorchers
opposite sides · consensus Perth Scorchers
Sydney Thunder $107Perth Scorchers $174——
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $14Under $181—
W75 Petange: Jessika Ponchet vs Veronika Podrez
opposite sides · consensus Veronika Podrez
—Veronika Podrez $20Jessika Ponchet $78—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $7Over $28—
Rolex Paris Masters: Matteo Berrettini vs Carlos Alcaraz
same side · consensus Carlos Alcaraz
Carlos Alcaraz $32KCarlos Alcaraz $16K——
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.5K—
Chennai Open: Simona Waltert vs Lucrezia Stefanini
same side · consensus Lucrezia Stefanini
Lucrezia Stefanini $4.7K—Lucrezia Stefanini $1.6K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.3K—Over $360—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $9Over $1.5K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $102Under $1.1K—
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Mary Stoiana
same side · consensus Sorana Cirstea
Sorana Cirstea $646Sorana Cirstea $271——
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $751Boluspor $44—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702Under $20—
M25 Heraklion: Melios Efstathiou vs Pablo Perez Ramos
same side · consensus Melios Efstathiou
—Melios Efstathiou $222Melios Efstathiou $304—
Luanda: Justina Mikulskyte vs Tiphanie Lemaitre
same side · consensus Tiphanie Lemaitre
Tiphanie Lemaitre $363Tiphanie Lemaitre $25——
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $116Yes $161—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $174Under $42—
Nepal Premier League: Lumbini Lions vs Janakpur Bolts
same side · consensus Lumbini Lions
Lumbini Lions $132Lumbini Lions $54——
ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: Bangladesh Under-19s vs Afghanistan Under-19s
same side · consensus Afghanistan Under-19s
Afghanistan Under-19s $168Afghanistan Under-19s $3——