Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Accomplished-FrameworkBreakTheBankprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)49% (270–286, n=556)41% (589–853, n=1442)50% (1246–1260, n=2506)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)
Consensus PnL$4.0K$7.7M$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #924PM monthly #1PM monthly #49PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)73% (43 of 59 open)54% (21 of 39 open)54% (85 of 156 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 82% of 60)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢—36% (won 98% of 212)41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 205)49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 116)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

12 on the same side, 22 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketAccomplished-FrameworkBreakTheBankprimmRN1
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Colts $101KColts $94Cowboys $2.1K
Spread: Giants (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Giants
—Giants $11KEagles $3.4KEagles $1.4K
Giants vs. Eagles
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
—Giants $226KEagles $5.6K—
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $208KOver $6.8K—
Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
—Colts $179K—Cowboys $1.9K
Spread: Giants (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
—Giants $68KEagles $131—
Spread: Giants (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
—Giants $67K—Eagles $20
Spread: Giants (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
—Giants $37K—Eagles $8.7K
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 48.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $6.8KOver $1.6K
Charlottesville: Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Mayo
opposite sides · consensus Aidan Mayo
Aidan Mayo $4.0K——Stefan Kozlov $3.2K
Spread: Rams (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Commanders
——Commanders $133Rams $6.3K
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $3.9KUnder $2.0K
Spread: Lions (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lions
——Dolphins $1.2KLions $4.6K
Cowboys vs. Colts: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $92Over $5.6K
Browns vs. Saints: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $3.3KOver $1.9K
Lions vs. Dolphins: O/U 48.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $5.0KOver $99
Spread: Saints (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
——Saints $50Browns $3.5K
Spread: Lions (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Dolphins
——Lions $2.0KDolphins $1.6K
Spread: Saints (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
——Saints $958Browns $1.8K
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
—Bulls $2.2K—76ers $371
Spread: Lions (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lions
——Dolphins $267Lions $787
Spread: 76ers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
—Bulls $240—76ers $155
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $235K—No $4.7K
Lions vs. Dolphins
same side · consensus Lions
——Lions $47KLions $2.2K
Cowboys vs. Colts
same side · consensus Cowboys
—Colts $35KColts $5.7K—
Spread: Chiefs (-8.5)
same side · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $18K—Chiefs $1.6K
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 46.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $5.3KUnder $5.8K
Spread: Giants (-5.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
——Eagles $195Eagles $3.2K
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 50.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.6KUnder $1.3K
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 34.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $924Over $864
Spread: Lions (-14.5)
same side · consensus Dolphins
——Dolphins $1.6KDolphins $3
Spread: Saints (-7.5)
same side · consensus Browns
——Saints $16Saints $1.4K
Spread: Rams (-6.5)
same side · consensus Commanders
——Commanders $745Commanders $579
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 46.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $9Over $14