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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Accomplished-FrameworkFlaznorpjoseph00677RN1
Record (consensus markets)49% (270–286, n=556)52% (7711–7000, n=14711)43% (10–13, n=23)48% (17936–19365, n=37301)
Consensus PnL$4.0K$4.1M$3.3M$14.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #934PM monthly #9PM monthly #8PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position71% (112 of 158 open)no open consensus position60% (54 of 90 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicTennis −1 pts, n=453Other Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won46% of 534 at avg 47¢, ROI +2%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢16% (won 16% of 83)29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢40% (won 40% of 211)16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢36% (won 58% of 192)15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up9% (won 79% of 48)40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

28 on the same side, 24 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketAccomplished-FrameworkFlaznorpjoseph00677RN1
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $25K—Yes $15K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.7K
Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Racing Club de Lens
—Racing Club de Lens $8.0K—Olympique de Marseille $2
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 1 - 3 FC Barcelona?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $2.6K—Yes $2.9K
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 1 - 2 FC Barcelona?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.9K—Yes $3.1K
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.5K—Over $3.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $859—Over $3.0K
Exact Score: ACF Fiorentina 1 - 1 Juventus FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $141—No $3.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Will CR Vasco da Gama vs. SE Palmeiras end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.8K—Yes $39
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $446—Under $1.4K
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $873—Yes $315
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus FC Barcelona
—Club Atlético de Madrid $935—FC Barcelona $88
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $471—No $524
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $904—Under $37
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837—Yes $60
CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $654—Over $4
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 238.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $280—Over $161
CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $112—Over $265
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $272—No $11
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: FC Barcelona O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2—Over $51
Spread: 76ers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
—76ers $17—Bulls $3
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $102K—No $29K
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $49K—No $23K
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $31K—No $21K
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $37K—No $3.5K
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $26K—No $4.1K
WTA Finals, Group A: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova
same side · consensus Linda Noskova
—Linda Noskova $12K—Linda Noskova $10K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)
same side · consensus Club Atlético de Madrid
—Club Atlético de Madrid $12K—Club Atlético de Madrid $3.0K
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)
same side · consensus Club Atlético de Madrid
—Club Atlético de Madrid $12K—Club Atlético de Madrid $138
Racing Club de Lens vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $8.0K—Over $3.1K
FC Barcelona leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.8K—No $6.0K
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus FC Barcelona
—FC Barcelona $9.2K—FC Barcelona $53
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)
same side · consensus FC Barcelona
—FC Barcelona $3.7K—FC Barcelona $3.2K
ACF Fiorentina vs. Juventus FC: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $3.2K—Under $3.0K
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 3 - 2 FC Barcelona?
same side · consensus No
—No $571—No $4.5K
Will CF Estrela da Amadora win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.0K—No $710
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: FC Barcelona O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.3K—Under $468
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
same side · consensus Bulls
—76ers $1.0K—76ers $918
Will Club The Strongest win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $702—No $1.2K
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: Club Atlético de Madrid O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $448—Under $960
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 2 - 1 FC Barcelona?
same side · consensus No
—No $944—No $192
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 235.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $796—Over $308
Spread: 76ers (-5.5)
same side · consensus Bulls
—Bulls $726—Bulls $69
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $747—Boluspor $44
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 2 - 3 FC Barcelona?
same side · consensus No
—No $220—No $90