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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| AppleTiime | Flaznorp | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 48% (211–228, n=439) | 53% (7602–6859, n=14461) | 48% (18678–20261, n=38939) |
| Consensus PnL | -$23K | $4.1M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #488 | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #31 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 66% (105 of 158 open) | 68% (21 of 31 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | College Football −10 pts, n=63 | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 46% of 428 at avg 47¢, ROI −1% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 17% of 46) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 37% (won 42% of 159) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 51% (won 56% of 220) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 1% (won 67% of 3) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
11 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | AppleTiime | Flaznorp | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Claire Liu vs Alexandra Eala opposite sides · consensus Claire Liu | Alexandra Eala $4.1K | Alexandra Eala $6.3K | Claire Liu $7.0K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | Over $1.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $4.5K | Yes $1.9K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $613 | Over $3.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3.1K | Yes $6 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | Over $36 |
| Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $990 | Over $1.1K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $475 | Under $1.3K |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $851 | Yes $326 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $491 | No $524 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $837 | Yes $60 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $272 | No $11 |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $14K | No $2.5K |
| Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $5.1K | No $1.0K |
| Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $5.4K | No $269 |
| Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $3.2K | Under $29 |
| Will Shandong Taishan FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.8K | No $697 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $95 | Under $1.1K |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $721 | Under $20 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $173 | Yes $240 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $203 | Under $41 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $51 | Over $29 |