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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | AppleTiime | Flaznorp | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (38–40, n=78) | 100% (1–0, n=1) | 74% (431–152, n=583) | 68% (313–146, n=459) |
| Consensus PnL | -$384K | $7.3K | $56K | -$105K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #39 | PM monthly #483 | PM monthly #21 | PM monthly #38 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 45% (5 of 11 open) | no open consensus position | 72% (133 of 186 open) | 71% (29 of 41 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | College Football −5 pts, n=37 | Soccer −8 pts, n=40 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 50% of 316 at avg 47¢, ROI +3% | 44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23% | 100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 13% (won 20% of 40) | 34% (won 10% of 30) | 1% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 37% (won 45% of 117) | 19% (won 29% of 17) | 26% (won 100% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 49% (won 61% of 156) | 13% (won 55% of 11) | 40% (won 100% of 95) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 1% (won 67% of 3) | 34% (won 83% of 30) | 33% (won 100% of 80) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
27 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | AppleTiime | Flaznorp | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lima: Marco Cecchinato vs Francisco Comesana opposite sides · consensus Marco Cecchinato | Francisco Comesana $91K | — | Marco Cecchinato $4.8K | Marco Cecchinato $43K |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $4 | — | Under $521 | Under $18 |
| Spread: Heat (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Heat $52K | — | Jazz $203 | — |
| Will Manchester City WFC win on 2026-11-10? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $11K | No $133 |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $9.8K | Under $24 |
| Lima: Elmer Moeller vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri opposite sides · consensus Elmer Moeller | Elmer Moeller $3.9K | — | Genaro Alberto Olivieri $3.7K | — |
| Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Manchester City WFC end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $3.0K | Yes $402 |
| FC Internazionale Milano vs. Manchester City WFC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $106 | Over $1.5K |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $285 | Over $206 |
| UE Tavernes vs. Valencia CF: O/U 8.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $239 | Under $70 |
| WTA Finals, Group A: Marta Kostyuk vs Jessica Pegula same side · consensus Jessica Pegula | Jessica Pegula $19K | — | — | Jessica Pegula $47K |
| Will AS Roma win on 2026-11-10? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $11K | Yes $4.1K |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-10? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $9.8K | No $3.1K |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $8.6K | No $2.3K |
| Heat vs. Jazz same side · consensus Heat | Heat $9.3K | — | Heat $551 | — |
| Will AS Roma vs. Servette FC Chênois Féminin end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $7.6K | No $1.5K |
| Will Servette FC Chênois Féminin win on 2026-11-10? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $5.8K | No $3.1K |
| Will UE Tavernes win on 2026-10-28? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $6.9K | No $1.5K |
| Will UE Tavernes vs. Valencia CF end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $6.1K | No $120 |
| Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-11-10? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $2.5K | No $3.2K |
| UE Tavernes vs. Valencia CF: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus No | — | — | No $4.6K | No $437 |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $3.7K | Under $609 |
| Knoxville: Ozan Baris vs Oliver Tarvet same side · consensus Oliver Tarvet | — | — | Oliver Tarvet $1.6K | Oliver Tarvet $985 |
| FC Internazionale Milano vs. Manchester City WFC: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $1.9K | Under $447 |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $1.9K | Under $396 |
| Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 2 FC Bayern München? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $1.5K | No $577 |
| AS Roma vs. Servette FC Chênois Féminin: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $340 | Over $960 |
| FC Internazionale Milano vs. Manchester City WFC: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $7 | Under $1.2K |
| UE Tavernes vs. Valencia CF: O/U 7.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Over $528 | Over $316 |
| AS Roma vs. Servette FC Chênois Féminin: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $574 | Over $54 |
| FC Internazionale Milano vs. Manchester City WFC: 1st Half O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $223 | Under $283 |
| UE Tavernes vs. Valencia CF: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $437 | Over $64 |
| Spread: AS Roma (-1.5) same side · consensus Servette FC Chênois Féminin | — | — | Servette FC Chênois Féminin $447 | Servette FC Chênois Féminin $4 |
| Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 2 - 1 Manchester City WFC? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $190 | No $49 |
| AS Roma vs. Servette FC Chênois Féminin: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $173 | Under $17 |
| FC Internazionale Milano vs. Manchester City WFC: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $6 | Under $114 |