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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| AppleTiime | Flaznorp | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 48% (215–229, n=444) | 52% (7654–6941, n=14595) | 63% (1095–631, n=1726) | 48% (17933–19364, n=37297) |
| Consensus PnL | -$15K | $4.1M | $4.8M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #549 | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #118 | PM monthly #34 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 76% (237 of 312 open) | 71% (70 of 98 open) | 54% (72 of 133 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | College Football −10 pts, n=63 | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 47% of 429 at avg 47¢, ROI −1% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 17% of 46) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 37% (won 42% of 159) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 52% (won 56% of 221) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 1% (won 67% of 3) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
63 on the same side, 37 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | AppleTiime | Flaznorp | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $1.4K | No $41 | Yes $97 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | — | Over $1.7K |
| Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $8.9K | — | No $3.7K |
| SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $11K | — | Over $32 |
| Will AZ win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $3.7K | — | Yes $4.8K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $4.5K | — | Yes $1.9K |
| Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 3 - 1 Como 1907? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $802 | — | No $5.2K |
| Will Carrarese Calcio win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3.3K | — | Yes $1.9K |
| KFC Komárno vs. MFK Zemplín Michalovce: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $5.1K | — | Under $2 |
| Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $2.6K | — | Under $2.3K |
| Exact Score: Manchester United FC 1 - 0 Aston Villa FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $4.8K | — | Yes $1 |
| Will FC Lorient win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $3.8K | — | No $336 |
| Will Sandefjord Fotball win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $3.9K | — | Yes $128 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $845 | — | Over $3.0K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3.1K | — | Yes $6 |
| Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Aston Villa FC O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $2.8K | — | Under $5 |
| FC Internazionale Milano vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $2.7K | — | Under $25 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | — | Over $36 |
| Stade Brestois 29 vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $1.9K | — | Over $274 |
| Exact Score: Manchester United FC 2 - 2 Aston Villa FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $24 | — | No $2.0K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $446 | — | Under $1.4K |
| Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 2 - 3 Como 1907? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.4K | — | Yes $107 |
| Will KFUM-Kameratene Oslo win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.5K | — | Yes $5 |
| Le Mans FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.2K | — | Over $150 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $873 | — | Yes $315 |
| AZ vs. FC Groningen: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $1.2K | — | Under $6 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $471 | — | No $524 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $837 | — | Yes $60 |
| Will Universitatea Craiova CS win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $444 | — | Yes $36 |
| Exact Score: SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden 2 - 2 PSV? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $438 | — | Yes $2 |
| Exact Score: Manchester United FC 3 - 2 Aston Villa FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $62 | — | No $313 |
| Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 3 - 3 Como 1907? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $233 | — | Yes $45 |
| Exact Score: Manchester United FC 2 - 3 Aston Villa FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $90 | — | Yes $37 |
| Celtic FC vs. Kilmarnock FC: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $92 | — | Over $1 |
| Exact Score: SC Freiburg 0 - 0 1. FC Union Berlin? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $70 | — | No $10 |
| FC CFR 1907 Cluj vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $42 | — | Under $6 |
| Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 1 - 3 Como 1907? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $20 | — | Yes $1 |
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $56K | — | No $24K |
| Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $59K | — | Yes $13K |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $51K | — | No $4.8K |
| Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $38K | — | No $13K |
| Knoxville: Emile Hudd vs Justin Boulais same side · consensus Justin Boulais | — | Justin Boulais $4.3K | — | Justin Boulais $37K |
| Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus Yes | — | No $26K | — | No $8.7K |
| Will Celtic FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $12K | — | Yes $5.9K |
| Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5) same side · consensus Aston Villa FC | — | Aston Villa FC $16K | — | Aston Villa FC $862 |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $14K | — | No $2.5K |
| Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $11K | — | Over $4.3K |
| FC Internazionale Milano vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $13K | — | Over $1.9K |
| Will OFI Crete win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $4.9K | — | Yes $7.1K |
| FC Internazionale Milano vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $9.0K | — | Yes $1.9K |