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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
AppleTiimeFlaznorpprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)48% (211–228, n=439)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)49% (1224–1251, n=2475)48% (18678–20261, n=38939)
Consensus PnL-$23K$4.1M$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #538PM monthly #11PM monthly #54PM monthly #32 + pinned
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 2 open)64% (127 of 198 open)100% (1 of 1 open)66% (31 of 47 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +4 pts n=68, ROI +4%
  • NHL +6 pts n=30, ROI +2%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicCollege Football −10 pts, n=63Other Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won47% of 429 at avg 47¢, ROI −1%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 17% of 46)29% (won 11% of 403)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢37% (won 42% of 159)16% (won 38% of 228)41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢52% (won 56% of 221)15% (won 62% of 214)49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up1% (won 67% of 3)40% (won 94% of 553)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

16 on the same side, 17 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketAppleTiimeFlaznorpprimmRN1
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Claire Liu vs Alexandra Eala
opposite sides · consensus Claire Liu
Alexandra Eala $4.1KAlexandra Eala $6.8K—Claire Liu $12K
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $43K—Yes $2.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Borna Gojo
opposite sides · consensus Borna Gojo
—Borna Gojo $4.0K—Nikoloz Basilashvili $623
Ipswich Town FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $3.3K—Over $704
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $613—Over $3.3K
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $3.5K—Under $4
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $6
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $2.0K—No $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $475—Under $1.3K
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $851—Yes $326
Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Liverpool FC
—Liverpool FC $1.0K—Crystal Palace FC $1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $491—No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837—Yes $60
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $272—No $11
Luanda: Anna Blinkova vs Sofya Lansere
same side · consensus Anna Blinkova
—Anna Blinkova $8.1K—Anna Blinkova $51K
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus Sunderland AFC
—Sunderland AFC $38K—Sunderland AFC $4.6K
Will Çorum FK win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $15K—No $12K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $9.5K—No $7.1K
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $7.1K—No $7.6K
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $7.1K—Yes $5.6K
Exact Score: Elche CF 0 - 0 Real Betis Balompié?
same side · consensus No
—No $470—No $1.6K
Exact Score: Sunderland AFC 1 - 3 Chelsea FC?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.5K—No $21
Sunderland AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $470—Under $760
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $95—Under $1.1K
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $721—Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $173—Yes $240
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $203—Under $41
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $51—Over $29