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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankCUTJALENHURTSomnibus-076daaprimm
Record (consensus markets)46% (560–665, n=1225)52% (5357–4920, n=10277)50% (15059–15076, n=30135)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)
Consensus PnL$11.2M$638K$3.0M$3.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #56PM monthly #55PM monthly #50
Sides with the consensus48% (10 of 21 open)62% (85 of 137 open)55% (104 of 190 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
Weakest topic—Golf −2 pts, n=108——
Settled positions, side won97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%54% of 10170 at avg 51¢, ROI +4%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 81% of 57)13% (won 19% of 1341)8% (won 60% of 874)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 201)35% (won 46% of 3607)21% (won 87% of 2384)41% (won 99% of 405)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 99% of 196)35% (won 61% of 3523)38% (won 95% of 4296)49% (won 99% of 485)
Entries 70¢ and up19% (won 100% of 109)17% (won 86% of 1699)33% (won 99% of 3716)5% (won 100% of 46)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

13 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankCUTJALENHURTSomnibus-076daaprimm
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $28No $18KYes $41—
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.0KNo $15KYes $59—
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $22KYes $2.0KYes $117—
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $15KYes $811Yes $215—
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.6KYes $376Yes $69—
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $19KYes $104—
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $15K—Yes $2.1K—
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2.2KNo $4.8K——
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.0K—Yes $149—
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $326Yes $4—
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $765KNo $14K——
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $16K—Yes $1.6K—
Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $80Yes $1.6K——
Will Cincinnati Bengals win the 2026 AFC North?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $739Yes $3—
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $681Yes $1—
Will Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $415Yes $117—
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $368Yes $42—
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $364Yes $32—
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $164Yes $42——
Will San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $18Yes $4—