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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankDirkDiggler67FlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (573–710, n=1283)60% (407–269, n=676)52% (6506–6010, n=12516)47% (14123–15612, n=29735)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$173K$3.3M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #412PM monthly #24PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus62% (18 of 29 open)62% (41 of 66 open)75% (176 of 234 open)56% (18 of 32 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Esports −23 pts, n=12Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%60% of 681 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)35% (won 13% of 240)29% (won 11% of 465)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)10% (won 51% of 70)16% (won 40% of 255)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)10% (won 82% of 67)16% (won 62% of 260)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)45% (won 94% of 304)39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankDirkDiggler67FlaznorpRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $14KOver $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $4.4KYes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $572Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $3.1KYes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KOver $36
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Mary Stoiana
opposite sides · consensus Sorana Cirstea
——Sorana Cirstea $1.3KMary Stoiana $573
Luanda: Justina Mikulskyte vs Tiphanie Lemaitre
opposite sides · consensus Justina Mikulskyte
——Justina Mikulskyte $1.4KTiphanie Lemaitre $355
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $476Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $466No $529
Bratislava 2: Tom Gentzsch vs Matej Dodig
opposite sides · consensus Matej Dodig
——Matej Dodig $289Tom Gentzsch $74
M25 Heraklion: Robert Guna vs Robin Bertrand
opposite sides · consensus Robin Bertrand
——Robert Guna $83Robin Bertrand $172
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $14Under $181
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $7Over $28
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Tereza Valentova vs Alexandra Eala
same side · consensus Alexandra Eala
——Alexandra Eala $12KAlexandra Eala $44K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $14KNo $2.5K
Chennai Open: Simona Waltert vs Lucrezia Stefanini
same side · consensus Lucrezia Stefanini
——Lucrezia Stefanini $1.5KLucrezia Stefanini $6.9K
Taranto: Maxim Mrva vs Thomas Faurel
same side · consensus Maxim Mrva
——Maxim Mrva $3.5KMaxim Mrva $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $9Over $1.5K
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
——Boluspor $751Boluspor $44
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $702Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $127Yes $176
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $174Under $42